FOX News Poll: Obama leads by 5 nationwide

[Tender Branson]

45-40 Obama/Romney

Obama Approval: 48-43

The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The poll is based on live telephone interviews with a national sample of 912 registered voters, and was conducted June 24-26, 2012. Landline and cell phone telephone numbers were randomly selected for inclusion in the survey using a probability proportionate to size method, which means that phone numbers for each state are proportional to the number of voters in each state. Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of ± 3 percentage points.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2012/06/27/poll-voters-say-neither-candidate-has-plan-for-economy/

[President von Cat]

Its an outlier! Junk!! Just like all these other outliers that show Obama ahead! Romney's got this in the bag! Guns God Ronald Reagan aw shucks freedom etc

[technical support]

Its an outlier! Junk!! Just like all these other outliers that show Obama ahead! Romney's got this in the bag! Guns God Ronald Reagan aw shucks freedom etc

no seems to me that people are re-thinking romney. He's just no Ronald Reagan

[MorningInAmerica]

Romney leads 49-44 with voters "extremely interested" in the race. These sorts of "interested" respondents are what eventually become the building blocks to LV models.

[pbrower2a]

Romney leads 49-44 with voters "extremely interested" in the race. These sorts of "interested" respondents are what eventually become the building blocks to LV models.

 They can only vote once.

[Alcon]

Romney leads 49-44 with voters "extremely interested" in the race. These sorts of "interested" respondents are what eventually become the building blocks to LV models.

Do you have proof for your assertion that LV models tend to overcount, as oppose undercount, less-motivated voters early on?  The empirical evidence I've seen (which is limited) suggests the opposite.

[MorningInAmerica]

Romney leads 49-44 with voters "extremely interested" in the race. These sorts of "interested" respondents are what eventually become the building blocks to LV models.

Do you have proof for your assertion that LV models tend to overcount, as oppose undercount, less-motivated voters early on?  The empirical evidence I've seen (which is limited) suggests the opposite.

I didn't know I was asserting that. All I said was Mitt leads among higher interest voters, which is a similar screening tool used by polling companies trying to nail down who is a likely voter.

[Alcon]

Romney leads 49-44 with voters "extremely interested" in the race. These sorts of "interested" respondents are what eventually become the building blocks to LV models.

Do you have proof for your assertion that LV models tend to overcount, as oppose undercount, less-motivated voters early on?  The empirical evidence I've seen (which is limited) suggests the opposite.

I didn't know I was asserting that. All I said was Mitt leads among higher interest voters, which is a similar screening tool used by polling companies trying to nail down who is a likely voter.

Bah, I'm sorry!  I had two windows opened, and one of them was an LV poll.  I thought it was this one, hence my interpretation of your post.  My apologies

[You kip if you want to...]

Mitt hasn't led in a non-tracker poll since May 14th. lol.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Romney leads 49-44 with voters "extremely interested" in the race. These sorts of "interested" respondents are what eventually become the building blocks to LV models.

 They can only vote once.

Pretty much. I'm pretty sure Kerry won those who said that the 2004 election was the most important in our lifetime by a pretty decent margin for all the good that did him.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

"Ice it now", the GOP pollster Fox news got Obama firmly ahead now despite the calls for Ramsussen to show Romney closer than he should be.  I think Bain Capital and the HCR mandate not being struck down has crippled Romney's campaign.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Is this a consequence of the health care ruling?

[Oakvale]

Is this a consequence of the health care ruling?

Might want to check the dates.

[BritishDixie]

If this poll was published for FOX, Romney is f****d.

[Yank2133]

Bad economy, more money raised these past few months, and incumbent in the mid 40s in terms of approval ratings and you still trail by five in GOP-leaning poll.

Mitt Romney flat-out sucks as a candidate.

[kenyanobama]

Bad economy, more money raised these past few months, and incumbent in the mid 40s in terms of approval ratings and you still trail by five in GOP-leaning poll.

Mitt Romney flat-out sucks as a candidate.

No, really? OF COURSE!!!!!!! We needed someone like Palin or Bachmann who would have been able to appeal to a vast swath of the electorate. We didn't need Osama-lite.

[Torie]

Bad economy, more money raised these past few months, and incumbent in the mid 40s in terms of approval ratings and you still trail by five in GOP-leaning poll.

Mitt Romney flat-out sucks as a candidate.

No, really? OF COURSE!!!!!!! We needed someone like Palin or Bachmann who would have been able to appeal to a vast swath of the electorate. We didn't need Osama-lite.

No, Christine O'Donnell would have been best.  Plus she would have the Wiccan vote all locked up.

[kenyanobama]

Bad economy, more money raised these past few months, and incumbent in the mid 40s in terms of approval ratings and you still trail by five in GOP-leaning poll.

Mitt Romney flat-out sucks as a candidate.

No, really? OF COURSE!!!!!!! We needed someone like Palin or Bachmann who would have been able to appeal to a vast swath of the electorate. We didn't need Osama-lite.

No, Christine O'Donnell would have been best.  Plus she would have the Wiccan vote all locked up.

Christine O'Donnell is a liberal. We don't need another Obama.

[Brittain33]

Bad economy, more money raised these past few months, and incumbent in the mid 40s in terms of approval ratings and you still trail by five in GOP-leaning poll.

Mitt Romney flat-out sucks as a candidate.

No, really? OF COURSE!!!!!!! We needed someone like Palin or Bachmann who would have been able to appeal to a vast swath of the electorate. We didn't need Osama-lite.

No, Christine O'Donnell would have been best.  Plus she would have the Wiccan vote all locked up.

Christine O'Donnell is a liberal. We don't need another Obama.

This is how the trolling ends - not with a bang, but with a whimper.

[Yank2133]

Bad economy, more money raised these past few months, and incumbent in the mid 40s in terms of approval ratings and you still trail by five in GOP-leaning poll.

Mitt Romney flat-out sucks as a candidate.

No, really? OF COURSE!!!!!!! We needed someone like Palin or Bachmann who would have been able to appeal to a vast swath of the electorate. We didn't need Osama-lite.

He still sucks.

[DrScholl]

No, really? OF COURSE!!!!!!! We needed someone like Palin or Bachmann who would have been able to appeal to a vast swath of the electorate. We didn't need Osama-lite.

You're too transparent with this act.

[kenyanobama]

No, really? OF COURSE!!!!!!! We needed someone like Palin or Bachmann who would have been able to appeal to a vast swath of the electorate. We didn't need Osama-lite.

You're too transparent with this act.

Just because you don't agree with my American perspective, doesn't mean that you can label it an 'act.'

[pbrower2a]

Bad economy, more money raised these past few months, and incumbent in the mid 40s in terms of approval ratings and you still trail by five in GOP-leaning poll.

Mitt Romney flat-out sucks as a candidate.

No, really? OF COURSE!!!!!!! We needed someone like Palin or Bachmann who would have been able to appeal to a vast swath of the electorate. We didn't need Osama-lite.

No, Christine O'Donnell would have been best.  Plus she would have the Wiccan vote all locked up.

The Republicans really needed a RINO to defeat President Obama -- someone able to avoid offending the secularist voters of Northern states. The Mitt Romney of the 1990s would have fit the bill. Instead he approached the lunatic fringe and can't win the center.  But the GOP has effectively purged the moderates. 

Barack Obama won by 7% in 2008, and this 5% gap appears before the unions begin their GOTV drives and the Obama campaign apparatus comes out of mothballs.

[kenyanobama]

Bad economy, more money raised these past few months, and incumbent in the mid 40s in terms of approval ratings and you still trail by five in GOP-leaning poll.

Mitt Romney flat-out sucks as a candidate.

No, really? OF COURSE!!!!!!! We needed someone like Palin or Bachmann who would have been able to appeal to a vast swath of the electorate. We didn't need Osama-lite.

No, Christine O'Donnell would have been best.  Plus she would have the Wiccan vote all locked up.

The Republicans really needed a RINO to defeat President Obama -- someone able to avoid offending the secularist voters of Northern states. The Mitt Romney of the 1990s would have fit the bill. Instead he approached the lunatic fringe and can't win the center.  But the GOP has effectively purged the moderates. 

Barack Obama won by 7% in 2008, and this 5% gap appears before the unions begin their GOTV drives and the Obama campaign apparatus comes out of mothballs.

So the base would come out right?

[pbrower2a]

Bad economy, more money raised these past few months, and incumbent in the mid 40s in terms of approval ratings and you still trail by five in GOP-leaning poll.

Mitt Romney flat-out sucks as a candidate.

No, really? OF COURSE!!!!!!! We needed someone like Palin or Bachmann who would have been able to appeal to a vast swath of the electorate. We didn't need Osama-lite.

No, Christine O'Donnell would have been best.  Plus she would have the Wiccan vote all locked up.

The Republicans really needed a RINO to defeat President Obama -- someone able to avoid offending the secularist voters of Northern states. The Mitt Romney of the 1990s would have fit the bill. Instead he approached the lunatic fringe and can't win the center.  But the GOP has effectively purged the moderates. 

Barack Obama won by 7% in 2008, and this 5% gap appears before the unions begin their GOTV drives and the Obama campaign apparatus comes out of mothballs.

So the base would come out right?

In large-enough numbers.