TX-PPP: Obama tied with Palin/Perry, all other Republicans ahead

[Associate Justice PiT]

Obama can campaign here as many times as he want, it still isn't going to swing the state his way.

What does Obama have that Jimmy Carter, Lyndon  Johnson, Jack Kennedy, Harry Truman, FDR, John Davis, James Cox, Woodrow Wilson, William Jennings Bryant, Alton Parker, Grover Cleveland, Winfield Hancock, Samuel Tilden, Horace Greeley and James Buchanan didn't?

A hard right-wing electorate that has dominated Texas politics for years?

     Indeed, Texas has swung dramatically from its Democratic days. If we are to assume that Obama would be competitive there today due to the state's history of voting for Democrats, then by the same logic Vermont must also be competitive for the Republicans.

[Associate Justice PiT]

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The reason why Vermont doesn't vote republican anymore is because the national party has written them off. If the party made it an effort to reason with them, Vermont could vote republican.

Remember that old man Bush, Reagan, Ford, Nixon, Eisenhower, Dewey, Wilkie, Landon, Hoover, Coolidge, Harding, Hughes, Taft, T. Roosevelt, McKinley, Harrison, Blaine, Garfield, Hayes, Grant, Lincoln and Fremont all won Vermont.

     They wrote off Vermont because they can't win it on the Presidential level anymore. The kind of Republican that could win Vermont would have no shot at the nomination today. The very existence of electoral trends more or less refutes the notion that Republicans could win a state today just because they won it regularly 50 years ago.