NBC/WSJ/Marist: NH-Clinton +9 NV-Tied

[Yank2133]

Yeah, that NV poll doesn't line up with the early vote.

[Yank2133]

So this confirms pollster don't know what they're doing with Nevada for the most part.

Pretty much.

Same thing happens every presidential election.

[Yank2133]

As we've learned Presidential cycle after cycle, it's just tough to poll Nevada, even for pretty good pollsters like Marist.  It's still basically safe for Clinton.  If you want to call it Likely, fine whatever.

But is it true?
In 2008/12, it was true. But it might be Obama thing rather then D thing. In 2004 rcp average was pretty good.

Do you guys know what polls showed in Nevada, 2000? I googled, but not found only one poll from Sep 29 2000
http://www.surveyusa.com/ArchivedArticles/NevadaNews.htm

It showed Al Gore +5

Early voting in NV looks like 2012......so no it is not just an Obama thing.