New Zealand Election 2017 (user search)
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Author Topic: New Zealand Election 2017  (Read 48606 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: August 19, 2017, 03:23:58 PM »

A) Kurz is not good looking. And to be honest, the same goes for most politicians labelled as attractive - if a young person of average attractiveness spends all day around middle-aged career politicians they tend to look "attractive" by comparison, even if it's merely because they have a full head of hair or whatever.

The Austrian women disagree (polls show that Kurz does extremely well with the Austrian ladies, young and old):

Sebastian Kurz: Flawless Beautiful Son-in-Law, Grandson in Chief and Hero of the Old Ladies.





And he's popular with the ladies abroad:

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2017, 11:23:25 AM »

My NZ prediction:

40.3% National Party (51 seats)
39.1% Labour Party (48 seats)
  8.1% Greens (10 seats)
  7.7% NZ First (9 seats)
  4.8% Others (2 seats)

Turnout: 77.2%
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #2 on: September 23, 2017, 02:14:32 AM »

Looks like the final polls got it right.

#JacindaDerailed
#CantKillTheBill
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #3 on: September 23, 2017, 02:19:10 AM »

NZ Outdoors Party.

That sounds like my party.

Can anyone tell me more about them ?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #4 on: September 23, 2017, 02:32:02 AM »

Polkergeist, did you spot turnout figures on that NZ election page yet ?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #5 on: September 23, 2017, 03:07:41 AM »

For my prediction, I hope Labour can catch up once the election day results come in.

Currently it is only advance votes that are being counted.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #6 on: September 23, 2017, 05:17:57 AM »

Wow, that's a landslide ... I thought Jacindamentum would be bigger.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #7 on: September 23, 2017, 05:29:26 AM »

By "landslide" I mean the fact that 2 weeks ago it looked like Labour was pulling ahead by as much as 5%.

Now they are down by 11% with 90% of the votes counted ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #8 on: September 23, 2017, 06:34:06 AM »

Yeah, what happened to turnout ?

It was 78% in 2014 and now stands at 67% - with 99% counted.

Are there some additional votes counted later (those who registered to vote on election day) ?

But nonetheless, it seems turnout won't hit 70% ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #9 on: October 06, 2017, 10:51:01 PM »

Final turnout: 79.8% (+1.9 compared with the previous election)

... and the highest since 2005.

http://www.elections.org.nz/news-media/new-zealand-2017-general-election-official-results
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #10 on: October 19, 2017, 11:06:21 AM »

A tiny beam of light for Social Democracy, which had a horrible year so far ...

Totally destroyed in the Netherlands (less than 10%), eliminated in France in favour of a working-class bashing Neo-Liberal, didn't make it in the UK, removed from power in Germany (getting their lowest result ever), still out of power in Norway (+ lost support), a surprisingly stable election result in Austria after all the trouble (but they will probably lose their government spot to a right-wing coalition).
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