UK local by-elections, 2016

[ObserverIE]

Here we go again. (Holy Word here.)

Carlisle, FloodplainBotcherby

Ind 51.1 (+21.9)
Lab 33.5 (+0.4)
Con 15.4 (-5.4)

Ind gain Botcherby from Lab

[ObserverIE]

This week's Holy Word here.

Cornwall, Launceston Central

Lib Dem 63.0 (-7.8)
Con 27.6 (+10.4)
Green 7.9 (+7.9)
CPA 1.5 (+1.5)

[ObserverIE]

This week's Holy Words are here and here.

St Helens, Thatto Heath

Lab 71.1 (+5.4)
UKIP 13.4 (-1.8)
Con 10.8 (-2.1)
Green 4.6 (-1.5)

South Lanarkshire, Hamilton North and East

SNP 42.9 (+2.5)
Lab 33.6 (-9.4)
Con 18.5 (+8.4)
Green 3.3 (+0.2)
Lib Dem 1.8 (+1.8)

SNP	1089	1096	1138	1206
Lab	855	861	878	1052
Con	469	480	485
Green	83	90
Lib Dem	45

Wealden, Crowborough East

Con 64.0 (-0.3)
Lib Dem 24.5 (-11.2)
Lab 11.5 (+11.5)

Hertfordshire, Bushey North

Con 52.6 (+8.9)
Lib Dem 19.9 (+5.8)
Lab 17.1 (-2.1)
UKIP 10.5 (-12.5)

Thanet, Newington

Lab 37.7 (+1.0)
UKIP 30.0 (-14.1)
Con 20.4 (+1.2)
Ind Birchall 6.4
Green 2.6 (+2.6)
Lib Dem 1.6 (+1.6)
Ind Hodder 1.3

Southwark, Faraday

Lab 60.9 (-2.5)
Lib Dem 14.5 (+9.0)
Green 7.8 (-3.3)
Con 6.6 (-2.5)
UKIP 5.3 (+5.3)
Ind 2.7
APP 2.2 (-4.0)

SNP hold Hamilton North and East
Lab gain Newington from UKIP

[ObserverIE]

Stockton-on-Tees, Parkfield and Oxbridge

Lab 52.5 (+7.1)
Con 31.9 (+5.0)
UKIP 9.9 (+9.9)
Lib Dem 5.7 (+0.3)

[ObserverIE]

Holy Word here.

North West Leicestershire, Measham South

Lab 42.8 (-12.3)
Con 33.7 (-11.2)
UKIP 23.5 (+23.5)

East Cambridgeshire, Bottisham

Con 43.6 (-7.7)
Lib Dem 41.7 (+9.7)
Lab 10.2 (-6.5)
UKIP 4.5 (+4.5)

Shropshire, Oswestry South

Green 48.8 (+17.1)
Con 34.6 (-11.4)
Lab 9.0 (+9.0)
Lib Dem 7.6 (+1.8)

Northumberland, Hexham West

Ind Kennedy 36.6
Con 33.2 (-15.1)
Lab 14.6 (-0.3)
Ind Pickering 9.1
Green 6.5 (+6.5)

Green gain Oswestry South from Con
Ind gain Hexham West from Con

[ObserverIE]

Good hold in Measham given the *ahem* circumstances...

Drug-pushing not quite on the same scale as kiddy-fiddling.

[ObserverIE]

Bolton, Crompton

Lab 70.9 (+7.9)
UKIP 11.6 (+11.6)
Con 10.9 (-10.8)
Lib Dem 4.2 (-6.2)
Green 2.4 (-2.5)

Hounslow, Cranford

Lab 54.7 (+1.8)
Con 27.6 (+2.1)
Lib Dem 11.5 (+4.7)
UKIP 4.2 (-10.5)
Green 2.1 (+2.1)

Coventry, Lower Stoke

Lab 57.5 (+7.9)
Con 16.0 (-5.2)
UKIP 13.5 (-4.8)
Green 7.2 (+0.9)
Lib Dem 5.8 (+5.8)

Eastleigh, West End North

Lib Dem 53.0 (+13.2)
Con 28.7 (-6.4)
UKIP 10.5 (-4.9)
Lab 5.3 (-4.3)
Green 2.6 (+2.6)

Belated Holy Word here

[ObserverIE]

Holy Words here, here, agus an seo.

Chiltern, Amersham Town

Con 50.2 (+12.0)
Lib Dem 36.3 (+7.3)
UKIP 6.9 (-9.6)
Lab 6.6 (-9.7)

Flintshire, New Brighton

Lib Dem 45.2 (-0.2)
Lab 29.9 (-2.5)
Con 17.5 (-4.7)
Ind 7.4

Lichfield, Chadsmead

Lib Dem 40.0 (+16.5)
Lab 26.0 (-1.3)
Con 21.2 (-11.0)
UKIP 9.7 (-7.3)
Green 3.1 (+3.1)

Cambridgeshire, Sutton

Lib Dem 52.5 (+19.7)
Con 32.2 (-17.2)
UKIP 10.3 (+10.3)
Ind 5.0

Manchester, Higher Blackley

Lab 65.3 (+7.8)
UKIP 18.9 (-6.9)
Con 8.0 (-1.8)
Lib Dem 4.8 (+2.1)
Green 2.5 (-1.7)
Pirate 0.6 (+0.6)

Suffolk, Newmarket and Red Lodge

Con 41.0 (-3.6)
UKIP 31.4 (+3.0)
Lab 14.9 (-5.8)
West Suffolk Ind 7.8 (+7.8)
Lib Dem 4.8 (-1.5)

Broxtowe, Toton and Chilwell Meadows

Con 51.9 (+8.8)
Lab 21.0 (+0.2)
Lib Dem 20.7 (+20.7)
Green 6.3 (-4.3)

Argyll and Bute, Oban North and Lorn (changes in italics - first set since July 2014 by-election, second set since October 2014 by-election)

SNP 42.3 (+11.5) (+17.7) (+1.4)
Con 23.2 (+14.1) (+4.8) (+7.6)
Ind 23.1
Green 11.4 (+11.4) (+11.4) (+11.4)

SNP	1113	1186	1241
Con	609	640
Ind	608	721	1048
Green	300

Broxtowe, Greasley

Con 48.8 (+1.2)
Lab 22.3 (-4.1)
UKIP 17.1 (-2.9)
Lib Dem 11.8 (+5.8)

Con gain Amersham Town from Lib Dem
Lib Dem hold Chadsmead
Lib Dem gain Sutton from Con

[ObserverIE]

This week's Holy Word.

Featuring a councillor who resigned but then decided to stand in the by-election as an Independent because he didn't approve of his party's choice of candidate to replace him.

Sounds fascinatingly Healy-Raeësque in its intrigue.

Richmondshire, Catterick

Con 60.3 (+23.1)
Ind 39.7

Stratford-on-Avon, Studley with Sambourne

Lib Dem 50.9 (+19.6)
Lab 20.6 (+2.5)
Con 18.8 (-13.8)
Ind 5.3
UKIP 4.4 (-5.9)

(Mr. Moon was no Jackie Healy-Rae)

Dudley, St James's

Lab 46.3 (+1.3)
UKIP 30.3 (+2.3)
Con 23.4 (-0.4)

Dudley, Kingswinford North and Wall Heath

Con 53.8 (+3.9)
Lab 34.5 (+8.1)
UKIP 9.7 (-11.4)
Green 1.9 (-0.8)

Con hold Catterick
Lib Dem gain Studley with Sambourne from Con

[ObserverIE]

Holy Word here.

Blackpool, Bloomfield

Lab 57.6 (+12.9)
Con 19.2 (+1.8)
UKIP 15.1 (-11.8)
Green 4.1 (-5.2)
Lib Dem 4.0 (+4.0)

Rutland, Whissendine

Lib Dem 65.1 (-0.8)
Con 26.8 (-7.3)
UKIP 8.1 (+8.1)

Havant, Bondfields

Con 30.2 (-3.4)
Lib Dem 27.3 (+16.0)
Lab 21.6 (-6.9)
UKIP 20.9 (+20.9)

East Dorset, Alderholt

Con 47.5 (-15.3)
Lib Dem 46.5 (+46.5)
Lab 6.1 (+6.1)

[ObserverIE]

Holy Word here.

Cumbria, Kendal Strickland and Fell

Lib Dem 59.9 (+7.7)
Lab 17.2 (-9.7)
Con 9.7 (-0.5)
Green 7.2 (+7.2)
UKIP 6.0 (-3.9)

Windsor and Maidenhead, Maidenhead Riverside

Con 53.4 (+4.8)
Lib Dem 23.2 (+8.2)
Ind 9.5
Lab 8.4 (-4.3)
UKIP 5.5 (-6.1)

[ObserverIE]

Holy Word here.

Broadland, Aylsham

Lib Dem 48.0 (+21.1)
Con 37.9 (+5.5)
Lab 14.1 (-10.8)

North Kesteven, Ashby de la Launde and Cranwell

Lincs Ind 55.6 (+55.6)
Con 36.0 (-29.4)
Lib Dem 8.4 (+8.4)

Redcar and Cleveland, Hutton

Con 45.0 (-9.5)
Lib Dem 27.4 (+9.1)
Lab 18.8 (-8.4)
UKIP 5.9 (+5.9)
Ind 2.9

Lib Dem gain Aylsham from Con
Lincs Ind gain Ashby de la Launde and Cranwell from Con

[ObserverIE]

Holy Word here.

Kettering, St Peter's

Con 51.0 (+12.8)
Lab 19.6 (-6.3)
UKIP 16.2 (-2.8)
Green 10.1 (-6.8)
Lib Dem 3.1 (+3.1)

Allerdale, Dalton

Ind 31.7
Lab 28.2 (+28.2)
Con 22.2 (-26.0)
UKIP 12.6 (-1.9)
Green 5.3 (-10.6)

Allerdale, Moss Bay

Lab 64.9
UKIP 29.9
Con 5.2

Ind gain Dalton from Con
Lab hold Moss Bay

[ObserverIE]

Holy Words here, here, and here.

Richmondshire, Richmond Central

Richmondshire Ind 35.0 (+35.0)
Lib Dem 30.4 (-17.1)
Con 23.1 (-7.3)
Green 11.4 (-10.7)

Caerphilly, Moriah

Lab 55.7 (+11.5)
Ind Bailie 23.5
Ind Diggle 10.7
UKIP 9.2 (+9.2)
Con 0.8 (+0.8)

Craven, Embsay-with-Eastby

Ind 79.9
Con 20.1 (-38.9)

Dundee, Maryfield

SNP 49.5 (-1.3)
Lab 22.7 (-13.7)
Con 10.5 (+3.2)
TUSC 5.1 (+3.3)
Green 4.1 (+4.1)
Lib Dem 3.0 (-0.7)
Ind 2.6
UKIP 2.5 (+2.5)

SNP	1383	1389	1399
Lab	634	637	648
Con	294	304	317
TUSC	142	147	161
Green	116	118	123
Lib Dem	85	87	92
Ind	73	81
UKIP	69

Essex, Clacton East

Residents 46.8 (+46.8)
UKIP 25.2 (+0.4)
Con 16.5 (-10.3)
Lab 10.2 (-0.5)
Lib Dem 1.3 (-0.4)

Richmondshire Ind gain Richmond Central from Lib Dem
Ind gain Embsay-with-Eastby from Con (The Healy-Raeization of rural Yorkshire continues apace...)
SNP hold Maryfield
Residents gain Clacton East from Tendring First

[ObserverIE]

This week's trilogy of Holy Words are here, here, and here.

Caerphilly, Ynysddu

Lab 58.9 (-4.7)
UKIP 21.1 (+21.1)
PC 15.7 (-14.4)
Lib Dem 4.2 (+4.2)

East Riding of Yorkshire, Pocklington Provincial

Ind 38.0
Con 36.1 (-7.2)
Lab 18.0 (-2.1)
UKIP 7.9 (-12.0)

Perth and Kinross, Almond and Earn

Con 48.1 (+18.0)
SNP 38.7 (-2.5)
Lab 6.4 (-3.6)
Lib Dem 4.6 (-2.0)
UKIP 2.2 (+2.2)

Con	1651	1681	1720
SNP	1327	1334	1370
Lab	219	228	280
Lib Dem	157	163
UKIP	77

Ind gain Pocklington Provincial from Con
Con gain Almond and Earn from SNP

The Healy-Raeization of rural Yorkshire takes another step forward.

[ObserverIE]

Holy Words here and here.

Taunton Deane, Taunton Halcon

Lib Dem 43.0 (+3.4)
Con 24.6 (-11.0)
Lab 14.7 (+14.7)
UKIP 13.1 (+13.1)
Green 4.6 (-20.2)

Cornwall, Wadebridge West

Lib Dem 43.5 (+19.2)
Con 25.6 (-39.9)
Lab 16.0 (+5.8)
Ind 8.0
Green 6.8 (+6.8)

Cornwall, Menheniot

Con 40.5 (+2.5)
Lib Dem 35.9 (+11.5)
UKIP 13.5 (-17.7)
Lab 5.1 (+5.1)
Green 5.0 (-1.4)

Lib Dem gain Wadebridge West from Con

[ObserverIE]

Scrolling through the results of the past few months: Are we experiencing the miraculous resurrection of LibDems? What's going on?

I think we're seeing a limited resurrection in areas where they have a credible presence at local level. But they fell a long, long way from 2010 to 2015. It's a question of going from single digits to the cusp of double digits nationally.

[ObserverIE]

Merton, St Helier

Lab 71.0 (+12.4)
Con 13.9 (-0.3)
UKIP 9.4 (-11.4)
Lib Dem 2.9 (-3.5)
Green 2.7 (+2.7)

[ObserverIE]

Holy Word here.

East Staffordshire, Stapenhill

Lab 44.3 (+13.8)
UKIP 28.8 (-4.7)
Con 17.2 (-5.4)
Ind 6.2
Green 2.0 (-11.3)
Lib Dem 1.5 (+1.5)

North Yorkshire, Northallerton

Con 48.3 (-4.1)
UKIP 20.5 (-10.6)
Lab 17.2 (+0.7)
Yorks 1st 9.7 (+9.7)
Green 4.6 (+4.6)

Hambleton, Northallerton South

Con 48.0 (+5.3)
Lab 20.6 (-6.8)
UKIP 19.7 (-10.2)
Yorks 1st 11.8 (+11.8)

Lab gain Stapenhill from UKIP

[ObserverIE]

Holy Words here, here (again!), and here.

Rushmoor, Aldershot Park

Lab 45.9 (+11.1)
UKIP 27.4 (-0.1)
Con 23.1 (-14.6)
Green 3.6 (+3.6)

Dorset, Sherborne Rural

Lib Dem 49.6 (+15.1)
Con 46.7 (+9.5)
Lab 3.7 (+1.2)

Denbighshire, Denbigh Lower

Ind 36.3
PC 29.4 (+7.6)
Con 14.8 (+8.2)
Lab 10.1 (+10.1)
Lib Dem 9.4 (+1.6)

Denbighshire, Dyserth

Ind Williams 25.6
Ind Parry 23.0
Con 20.3 (-30.4)
Lib Dem 15.5 (+4.0)
Lab 12.6 (-25.2)
PC 3.0 (+3.0)

Argyll and Bute, Oban North and Lorn (I am not showing vote changes from the three previous by-elections in this electoral area since the last full council election)

SNP 39.8 (+8.0)
Ind 26.8
Con 22.3 (+13.2)
Lib Dem 11.1 (+5.9)

SNP	1055	1097	1138
Ind	711	821	1160
Con	591	668
Lib Dem	294

Lewes, Lewes Bridge

Lib Dem 44.6 (+18.5)
Green 28.3 (+9.9)
Lab 17.4 (+0.9)
Con 9.6 (-3.1)

Mid Suffolk, Barking and Somersham

Green 34.5 (+34.5)
Con 34.2 (-7.5)
Lib Dem 25.1 (+13.3)
Lab 6.2 (+6.2)

Lab hold Aldershot Park
Lib Dem gain Sherborne Rural from Con
Ind hold Denbigh Lower
Ind gain Dyserth from Con
Ind win Oban North and Lorn (seat held by SNP elected as Ind)
Green gain Barking and Somersham from Con

[ObserverIE]

Lambeth, Gipsy Hill

Lab 43.4 (-24.6)
Green 42.1 (+32.5)
Con 7.5 (-5.8)
Lib Dem 3.0 (-1.7)
UKIP 2.6 (-1.8)
Ind 0.9
TUSC 0.7 (+0.7)

North East Lincolnshire, South

Lab 47.4 (-6.3)
UKIP 28.9 (+0.5)
Con 19.5 (+4.7)
Green 2.5 (+2.5)
TUSC 1.6 (-1.6)

Essex, Basildon Laindon Park and Fryerns

UKIP 42.6 (+8.0)
Lab 33.5 (-4.7)
Con 18.4 (+2.8)
Green 5.5 (+3.2)

Southwark, Surrey Docks

Lib Dem 51.9 (+23.0)
Lab 21.1 (-1.1)
Con 12.9 (-6.3)
Green 7.4 (-6.4)
UKIP 6.4 (-9.4)
Ind 0.3

UKIP gain Basildon Laindon Park and Fryerns from Lab

Belated Holy Word here.

[ObserverIE]

Holy Word here.

King's Lynn and West Norfolk, Valley Hill

Con 41.0 (+6.9)
Lab 24.2 (+24.2)
Lib Dem 15.7 (+15.7)
UKIP 14.8 (+14.8)
Green 4.2 (+4.2)

[ObserverIE]

From last week, overshadowed by everything else, with attendant Holy Word here:

Windsor and Maidenhead, Sunninghill and South Ascot

Con 57.2 (+16.8)
Lab 23.8 (+12.7)
Lib Dem 10.5 (-1.8)
UKIP 8.5 (-2.3)

[ObserverIE]

Holy Words here and here.

Luton, High Town

Lab 39.7 (-11.7)
Green 21.5 (+4.8)
Lib Dem 14.2 (+14.2)
Con 11.1 (-20.8)
Ind 8.0
UKIP 5.4 (+5.4)

Bexley, St. Michael's

Con 37.4 (+3.5)
Lab 33.5 (+12.6)
UKIP 18.2 (-16.0)
Lib Dem 4.7 (+4.7)
BNP 4.2 (-6.7)
Green 2.2 (+2.2)

Mole Valley, Leatherhead North

Lib Dem 56.6 (+22.2)
Con 22.3 (-6.4)
UKIP 10.3 (-7.3)
Lab 8.9 (-7.2)
Green 1.8 (-2.4)

Vale of Glamorgan, Rhoose

Ind Riley 29.2
Con 25.4 (-7.1)
Lab 19.6 (-10.6)
Ind Banner 19.5
PC 5.1 (+5.1)
Lib Dem 1.2 (+1.2)
Pirate 0.2 (+0.2)

Thanet, Newington (changes in italics since Jan 2016 by-election)

UKIP 40.2 (-3.9) (+10.2)
Lab 38.3 (+1.6) (+0.6)
Con 17.0 (-2.2) (-3.4)
Lib Dem 4.5 (+4.5) (+2.9)

Con hold St. Michael's
Lib Dem gain Leatherhead North from Con
Ind win Rhoose previously held by Ind
UKIP hold Newington

[ObserverIE]

Conwy, Mostyn

Lab 29.9 (-9.7)
Con 25.0 (+4.9)
Lib Dem 17.3 (+5.4)
Ind Thomas 14.7
UKIP 9.7 (+9.7)
Ind Enston 3.4

Eden, Appleby (Appleby)

Ind 73.6
Con 26.4

Suffolk, Carlford

Con 60.4 (+1.4)
Lab 18.2 (+4.1)
Lib Dem 12.1 (+4.3)
Green 9.3 (+9.3)

Ind win Appleby (Appleby) held by Ind