FL-SEN: Is Rubio about to bungle it? (user search)
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  FL-SEN: Is Rubio about to bungle it? (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-SEN: Is Rubio about to bungle it?  (Read 105110 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,487
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« on: April 03, 2015, 12:55:27 PM »
This seat will only flip in a wave anyways, Pa is the tipper, with Toomey and NH or OH will give Dems majority.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,487
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #1 on: April 03, 2015, 06:18:34 PM »
Hilary sits at 257-263 electors, counting either IA or NV, and with CO or OH and NH completing 270, FL with Jeb or Rubio on the ticket is harder to get. 
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,487
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #2 on: April 13, 2015, 07:57:38 PM »
This race still Leans GOP, neither Larry Sabato or Stuart Rothenberg has taken out of that category. Pa is the tipping pt state.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,487
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #3 on: June 10, 2015, 07:36:21 PM »
Quote from: Miles on June 10, 2015, 05:31:53 PM
^ Between this and the PA poll, I wish we got polls that didn't have "undecided" leading both actual candidates.


Sestak is weak in polls because he isnt a high pofile candidate like Strickland. He will be fine. Murphy will win due to Clinton draw towards Latinos. He will also win due to unpopularity of Scott.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,487
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #4 on: June 10, 2015, 08:01:13 PM »
« Edited: June 10, 2015, 08:04:03 PM by OC »
I was referring to fundraising capacity. Bill Clinton has started campaigning for Strickland and Murphy, not Sestak.

But, Hillary will be campaigning heavily in Pa.

Scott won in a midterm and he had a Latino running mate.

FL love the Clinton administration, he won FL in 1996, and even a weak candidate like Gore almost won.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,487
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #5 on: June 30, 2015, 11:55:59 AM »
Quote from: Pandaguineapig on June 30, 2015, 10:34:00 AM
Quote from: publicunofficial on June 30, 2015, 03:53:16 AM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on June 30, 2015, 03:46:17 AM
lol giving up a safe house seat to run for a Senate race he's not going to win.

Same could be said of DeSantis.
He at least has a chance if he beats CLC, Murphy is probably one of the most over-hyped senate recruits this election cycle

Murphy isnt overrated at all; polls have clearly showed FL is a virtual tossup at Senate&prez levels☺
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,487
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #6 on: December 01, 2015, 04:15:07 AM »
The only way the GOP wins this race if Rubio is on the ticket, barring that, eve. If GOP wins FL, Clinton will push Murphy ahead.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,487
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #7 on: December 01, 2015, 04:15:54 PM »
Quote from: TNvolunteer on December 01, 2015, 03:59:20 PM
Sad But there's still hope that Jolly is gonna beat Murphy...

Pretty .much solidifies the senate for Dems, NH, FL, CO, NV, IL & WI.  And chance for when Dems get a nominee, a chance for McGinty to def Toomey
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,487
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #8 on: December 02, 2015, 12:52:14 AM »
« Edited: December 02, 2015, 12:54:09 AM by OC »
The vulnerability of Claire McCaskill is overstated. And in a midterm that has Dems picking up govs mansions in FL & IL and other term limited govs, 2018 wont be as friendly to GOP as you might think.

Dems are defending more seats, but 3rd chances for an R wave are very unlikely.  I expect Tester to have a strong GOP challenger.  In a neutral year, Dems may lose 1-3 seats, and Flake will be tea partied. Making the seat more enticing for Dems.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,487
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #9 on: January 21, 2016, 04:27:39 PM »
« Edited: January 21, 2016, 08:17:50 PM by OC »
Well, the last Dem poll had Grayson up by 3 as well as Murphy winning.
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