CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Where's Hartson?

2.3%. I should note that only maybe 1% is reporting.

[LimoLiberal]

OC VBM VOTE IS IN  - https://www.ocvote.com/fileadmin/live/pri2018/results.htm

BREAKING - DEMOCRATS IN 2ND PLACE IN ALL COMPETITIVE DISTRICTS

BUT HANS KEIRSTEAD BARELY AHEAD OF BAUGH IN CA-49 AND JOSH NEWMAN GETTING CRUSHED IN RECALL VOTE

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

39/49 look fine but woof 48 is scary

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

So Glasson D'Alessandro and now even Heenan are losing? This country is doomed if they don't start electing real progressives(and despite what some red avatars say here, progressives and justice dems are electable, you just don't want to admit it! Especially in a year like this, when a ham sandwich would probably win against a republican!)

although, considering there are a couple counties where Nate Boulton is still ahead, maybe I should take that back

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Is Levin progressive? As in for MFA and Tution Free College?

[Devout Centrist]

If Baugh's numbers fall by just a hair, Democrats will be fine.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Finishing up Alabama, condolences to the former NJ Governor:

Attorney General
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Joseph Siegelman
107,778   53.3%   
Chris Christie
94,251   46.7   
202,029 votes, 78% reporting (1,688 of 2,169 precincts)

[MT Treasurer]

John Heehan (establishment), Kathleen Williams (women), and Grant Kier (progressive).

No one considers Kier more progressive/“less establishment” than Heenan, lol.

Some preliminary county results:

Missoula (Kier's base): 35% Kier, 31% Williams, 28% Heenan
Lewis and Clark: 33% Kier, 32% Williams, 25% Heenan
Cascade: 36% Williams, 36% Kier, 18% Kier
Yellowstone (Heenan's base): 57% Heenan, 20% Williams, 12% Kier
Gallatin (Williams' base): 55% Williams, 22% Kier, 18% Heenan

[mencken]

Are these Orange County results real, or just a test?

[Badger]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - AL:

U.S. House District 4
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Lee Auman
4,383   59.6%   
Rick Neighbors
2,968   40.4   
7,351 votes, 38% reporting (164 of 427 precincts)

@Badger: If you want sluggish, absolutely-every-check applied projections, then use NYT.  My projections are based on sophisticated analysis of county and district/statewide results, and have been correct on all but 3 occasions over the course of 2016, 2017, and 2018.

" sophisticated analysis"

Rather full of ourselves aren't we?

[wesmoorenerd]

Calling it now: the national Dems absolutely backed the wrong horse in Rouda - either Keirstead makes the GE or the Dems get locked out.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Calling it now: the national Dems absolutely backed the wrong horse in Rouda - either Keirstead makes the GE or the Dems get locked out.

Lol

[henster]

I don't think de Leon is going to make it.

[136or142]

Finishing up Alabama, condolences to the former NJ Governor:

Attorney General
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Joseph Siegelman
107,778   53.3%   
Chris Christie
94,251   46.7   
202,029 votes, 78% reporting (1,688 of 2,169 precincts)

Joseph Siegelman is the son of former Alabama Governor Don Siegelman.

[YE]

I don't have it in me to follow the CA results. I need a break from 3.5 hours of politics and they'll take forever to count.

Everyone in Atlas is overananylizing. This fourm never learns. At least I once and a while do.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

For sake of space, I will only show the Top 5 for CA. Calling 1st spot for Senate, still a race for the 2nd spot:

U.S. Senate
CANDIDATE   PARTY   VOTE   PCT.   
Dianne Feinstein*
Democrat
83,732   36.9%   
James Bradley
Republican
27,519   12.1   
Kevin de León
Democrat
15,925   7.0   
Paul Taylor
Republican
15,082   6.6   
Arun Bhumitra
Republican
14,183   6.2   


227,020 votes, <1% reporting (97 of 21,486 precincts)

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I don't think de Leon is going to make it.

They've only counted Fresno and Orange County, of course he's not in second. Wait until San Francisco or LA come in.

[IceSpear]

Late ballots in mail in states almost always skew Democratic, so if they're not locked out even now I doubt they will be once all is said and done.

And the pundit wet dreams will finally cease.

[LimoLiberal]

Wow, Josh Newman losing his recall vote by 24 points. In a district Clinton won handily.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Yeah, right now, I think the only district (of the three shutout possibilities) that we can be certain we'll make it in is CA49. 2nd-4th place in Orange are all then Democrats.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Late ballots in mail in states almost always skew Democratic, so if they're not locked out even now I doubt they will be once all is said and done.

And the pundit wet dreams will finally cease.

[Gass3268]

Wow, Josh Newman losing his recall vote by 24 points. In a district Clinton won handily.

I've seen some reporting on the ground that even Democrats there weren't happy with him.

[henster]

CA10 looks like a potential lockout for Dems, this was on nobodies radar.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Wow, Josh Newman losing his recall vote by 24 points. In a district Clinton won handily.

I've seen some reporting on the ground that even Democrats there weren't happy with him.

Another Democrat is probably going to win here in the special.

[scutosaurus]

So Glasson D'Alessandro and now even Heenan are losing? This country is doomed if they don't start electing real progressives(and despite what some red avatars say here, progressives and justice dems are electable, you just don't want to admit it! Especially in a year like this, when a ham sandwich would probably win against a republican!)

Maybe they are electable, but I'm still glad they're losing.

On a different note, I'm intrigued to see the California results. Hoping that a Dem will get into the CA-48 runoff, because Dana "Macedonia is not a country" Rohrabacher needs to go down. The other states' results are very promising so far. Has anyone else mentioned that, with ~40% of the vote in, Democrats are outvoting Republicans in Steve King's district?