C'mon people, let's put some numbers out there. Obama won Wisconsin by more than 14 points in 2008. I say this year he loses by more than 2.
...16 points? Really?
Please, give us your projection for the election. I'm sure we'd all love to see your reasoning.
I don't think you understand that 2008 has almost zero relevance to 2012 in a state like Wisconsin. It's basically a 50/50 state that can swing 2% either way. Tidal wave climates make some weird things happen. I see zero chance of Obama having another tidal wave at his back.
Yes, that's why Bush narrowly took it in '04.
He basically did.
Infamous incidents of:
http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/2005-01-24-tires-slashed_x.htm Gwen Moore's Son and other dems slashing the tires of 25 GOP vans on election day 2004
--
Vote suppression
http://rnla.org/blogs/blogs/public/archive/2011/11/21/smokes-for-votes-then-cigs-for-sigs-now.aspxMany including a New York Millionaire democrat operative caught bribing people to vote in exchange for cigarettes in 2004
--
electioneering There were a lot of incidents of mentally unaware seniors magically voting via absentee ballot despite not being able to spell their name.
A dozen college students admitted to voting twice.
Voting drives packed the rolls with thousands of fake names.
--
Vote fraudThat was all proved criminally. Some other fraud may have occurred that benefited the dems considering how easy it is to do it without getting caught and they got caught so often.
Needless to say, the proved criminal activity on the dem side combined with the 0.4% or 11,000 votes Kerry "won" by, did not inspire confidence in the integrity of the election.