2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Gingrich is going to be screaming his head off from now until the night of the midterms about a so-called "Red Wave", and how any primary result, no matter how strong of a showing for the Dems, spells doom for them. Hopefully that just creates a mood of complacency with Republicans.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Note that this is Arizona only, NOT a national GCB poll:

Emerson, June 21-22, 650 registered voters

D 44
R 40

If the Democrats are up 4 in Arizona, they’re at least up 8 nationwide, or Arizona is trending D faster than we thought.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Note that this is Arizona only, NOT a national GCB poll:

Emerson, June 21-22, 650 registered voters

D 44
R 40

If the Democrats are up 4 in Arizona, they’re at least up 8 nationwide, or Arizona is trending D faster than we thought.

I believe we are not to discuss single states on this thread.

With respect to Arizona:Republicans have a terrible mess with McCain, Flake (what a truthfully descriptive name) and Arpaio.  That really is not true nationally.  There are some problems.  But not to the extent of Arizona.

May I ask why we cant discuss the generic ballot on the generic ballot thread?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Monmouth is releasing a VA 10th poll tomorrow. Not really that exciting, since literally everybody knows who is going to win but here is the announcement anyways.

https://twitter.com/MonmouthPoll/status/1011275225013673986

Wexton +7

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Comstock won by 6 in 2016, the poll suggests a 16 point shift to the Democrats, which is in line with the national average of special elections

EDIT: Wow, some top notch spin from Donnelly!

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1011666202580672512

Where are the polls for North Dakota. Indiana, and Nevada?

Anyways, Sinema +7, Scott +2, Brown +18

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

In the VA Quinnipac poll, the Democrats got a -1 favorable rating while the GOP got a -26...

The Dems also lead the generic ballot in the state by 11 points.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Dems up in all three Senate Races, per Marist/NBC poll.

Sinema +11

Nelson +4

Brown +13

and the GCB was also released for the states

Arizona: Dems +7

Florida: Dems +6

Ohio: Dems +4

So it looks like Arizona could walk out of this midterm as a blue state...

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

D+7 GCB in Arizona? That's amazing.

Arizona is trending blue faster than any of us thought...

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Could Tipirneni win under a D+7 generic ballot in Arizona?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Remember that AZ Senate still has a divided primary and that will depress R totals for any individual candidate before there's a winner.

Yes but not the gcb...

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

It appears NBC pulled the polls off the net... which means somebody leaked them as they were due at 5:00.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

It appears NBC pulled the polls off the net... which means somebody leaked them as they were due at 5:00.

Unfortunatly, it appears the poll was leaked, and now its been taken down. Gonna have to wait till 5 to get the writeups again.

I'm more looking forward to the crosstabs.

I doubt the results are going to look any different at 5 than they did at the time they were leaked.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Morning Consult/Politico, June 22-24, 1989 registered voters

D: 44 (+2)
R: 37 (nc)

Apparently, Senior's issues are more important than healthcare?