Is there any reason for me to believe the polls when they showed him losing Michigan Wisconsin Pennsylvania and doing worse in Minnesota Ohio Maine North Carolina Virginia Colorado Iowa ?
Absolutely. Trump was never well liked to begin with, he won largely because Hillary Clinton had low approval ratings too. In fact Trump and Clinton had the two worst approval ratings of any candidate since polling has began. Low approval rating doesn't mean he will automatically lose those states. It means people would vote differently if there is a better alternative, but once the Democrats choose their leader, then it will become amongst those dissatisfied Trump voters who do they dislike less. While the majority of Trump and Clinton voters were satisfied with their candidate, there was a sizeable minority, I believe as much as 25%, who disliked both candidates and voted for whomever they disliked less.