Professor Lichtmann predicts Presidential Race for 2016

[Meclazine for Israel]

"Professor Allan Lichtman, who has correctly predicted the winner of the popular vote in every presidential election since 1984"......unveils his prediction for 2016.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/09/23/trump-is-headed-for-a-win-says-professor-whos-predicted-30-years-of-presidential-outcomes-correctly/

"Donald Trump has made this the most difficult election to predict since 1984....."

Interestingly, the Professors' political factors heavily favoured a Republican win given the incumbents' performance and situation.

[Meclazine for Israel]

Oh no,

http://edition.cnn.com/2016/11/15/politics/allan-lichtman-professor-predicts-trump-impeachment-erin-burnett/index.html

Allan just predicted that Trump will be impeached before 4 years is up.

[Meclazine for Israel]

I am paying him Likely.

He was right on the cusp saying that if Johnson got less than 5% of the vote, the prediction swings the other way.

Given that he first said that "Trump will win the Election", he was one of the few people to pick it.

[Meclazine for Israel]

This is completely meaningless. Didn't he predict a Gore victory in 2000, and then said the fact he won the popular vote means he was right? Yet Hillary won the popular vote this year, therefore the model must be wrong.

No,

When Johnson got less than 5% of the vote, his PV vote automatically flipped to Hillary.