2018 Gubernatorial Rankings

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Seeing as how I expect the dems to do very well house wise (win GCB by 10-15 points), it makes sense when considering local conditions (such as those in OK and KS as well), that they will do very well with gubernatorial races



The confidence map itself has tons of tossups.....

I don't have a ton of confidence on the gop in KS, OK, and FL and feel they will nominate the worst GE candidates (Kobach, Stitt, DeSantis) and the wave is going to be so large it will push dems over in WI, IA, OH, AZ, NV, AK, and GA, that being said, I could still see some really weird stuff happening and I don't think they have enough to push MD atlas red.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Just to add.....the tossups (MI should be Lean D)

[Terry the Fat Shark]

I do have TN as a tossup, waiting for the primary.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

My gubernatorial map from July (no tossups)

see no need for changes

[Terry the Fat Shark]

My gubernatorial map from July (no tossups)

see no need for changes

Bill Walker just announced his opposition to Kavanaugh, he is filling his role as an independent nicely and can win reelection despite his approval rating.

no evers and hubbell can win because the midwest is still elastic