State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread

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Results link for NY races:

http://nyenr.elections.state.ny.us/

No link for NH?

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The Democrat has won a surprise pickup in NH HD Carroll 6!

Kevin Landrigan‏ @KlandriganUL  5m5 minutes ago
NH House Dem surprise pickup [-] Edith Desmaris wins Carroll County seat in Wolfeboro, 811-755, over GOPer Matthew Plache. #nhpolitics

^Senior Reporter for Union Leader

House District Carroll 6 went for Republicans 57.05%-42.95% in 2016.

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Republicans apparently held NH HD Hillsborough 44, but it's not completely clear yet.

Chris Sununu‏ @ChrisSununu  9m9 minutes ago
Congratulations to Mark McLean on his special election victory! It was an honor campaigning with you - welcome back to Concord! #nhpolitics

House District Hillsborough 44 went for Republicans 57.58%-42.42% in 2016.

According to Dailykos:

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NH Democratic Party‏Compte certifié @NHDems  3 minil y a 3 minutes
Plus
 Representative-elect Edie DesMarais becomes 1st EVER Wolfeboro Democratic Representative. First seat to flip since 2016 election #nhpolitics

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When will we have the results tonight?

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Candidate   Percent   Votes
Kevin Cavanaugh (Democratic)    53.5%   1,245
David Boutin (Republican)    45.2%   1,052
Jason Dubrow (Libertarian)    1.3%   31

Canaugh wins by 9-12 points. Oh wait, it's Kevin Cavanaugh? Okay, 7-8 points then.

Kevin Cavanaugh (Democratic)    58.7%   3,204
David Boutin (Republican)    40.3%   2,200
Jason Dubrow (Libertarian)    1.1%   58

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Florida so far. Precincts are listed at 0% reporting, so holding off on any calls.

State Senator, District 40
Republican
Candidate   Party   Votes Received   
Jose Felix Diaz   REP   5,605   
57.09%
Alex Diaz de la Portilla   REP   2,670   
27.19%
Lorenzo J. Palomares   REP   1,543   
15.72%
9,818   Total


State Senator, District 40
Democrat
Candidate   Party   Votes Received   
Ana Rivas Logan   DEM   2,289   
32.41%
Annette Taddeo   DEM   4,773   
67.59%
7,062   Total

State Representative, District 116
Republican
Candidate   Party   Votes Received   
Jose Mallea   REP   2,231   
46.62%
Daniel Anthony Perez   REP   2,555   
53.38%
4,786   Total

Link please?

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IK it is a little off topic, but could we please get links for fairfax at large school board race?

Karen Keys-Gamarra (D) is winning big league.

If Democrats get this margin up and down the ticket in November, all three state Democrats will win and Democrats will pick up at least 10 seats in the House.

I don't think he outperformed Hillary though

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The Hattiesburg Post‏ @HattiesburgPost
With all precincts reporting, Ferraez 293, McGee 1,359, Mercier 685, Rehner 762.

Looks like it will be McGee (GOP) and Rehner (DEM) in the runoff.

Mercier and Ferraez's affiliation?

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Well, it was a nice try:

Tennessee Senate District 17
View County Breakdown
Candidate   Party   Votes   %
Mark Pody   Republican   3,334   53.89%
Mary Alice Carfi   Democratic   2,853   46.11%

Trump carried this district by which margin?

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Hahahahaha what the f***

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Oh my god I want to vomit.

https://twitter.com/ScottPresler/status/963256380114259968

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This idiot is a national treasure of bad #analysis

Is this guy a troll or just a delusional Trump supporter? His feed has been posted here a number of times now and I don't think I've ever seen even a remotely objective take. It's all spin, 24/7.

The second, I think, though my experience on Atlas suggests it may well be the first

Honestly I think it's the second. He seems to be very dumb.

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Beshear won it 61-39 in 2011.

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The Democrats aren’t going to lose any special election in NH, lol. It will be a landslide.

I think they also flip CT by an underwhelming margin and lose KY by only 5-10 or so.

NH: Safe D
KY: Tilt R
CT: Lean D

The KY house district is historically republican. Even Beshear didn't win it in 2011

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What's the conventional wisdom on the TN race?

I mean, the democrat is an atheist running in a TN district even redder than TN as a whole.