State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2

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Jeez, even Republican SOS can't do things right.

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Does anybody know where I can find live results for MS HD 30 runoff today?

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How did this seat vote in 2016?

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Bagel is morphing into LL's sidekick.

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Frostman (D) up 1,137 to 1,121 in Kewaunee County with 11 of 14 units in. It went 61% in favor of Trump btw.

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Jacques up 54-46% with 27% in

I can’t find Trump’s numbers in the district, but at this time, this is a 15-point improvement for the Dems from 2014.

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45% in, Frostman narrows the gap, trails 48-52%.

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45% in, Frostman narrows the gap. Trails 48-52%

Where are you getting this?

Kevin Binversie on Twitter

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Walker is sweating buckets

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Frostman up 52-48% with only 8 precincts left to count. This race is over.

Cue the Walker-Twitter meltdown.

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Brown

Jacques- 3,684
Frostman- 2,955

Jacques needed more than a thousand votes there, but he didn’t get it. Frostman still up 1,026 votes

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I’m getting the Brown numbers from locals

https://twitter.com/jrrosswrites/status/1006721048199548929?s=21

Apparently local media have called it for Frostman.

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Guys, LL isnt real, he’s just a figment of our imagination.

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A lot of southern Florida Democratic politicians were out in full force for Higgins in that race. Must've been a big deal.

EDIT: It looks like Higgins did really well in the Cuban-heavy parts of the district. Pretty ominous sign for the GOP since the winner was a white Democrat. The party's Cuban-American support could be slipping.

EDIT #2: The Republican is apparently a member of a Cuban-American Republican family dynasty in Miami-Dade. Her husband, who was the previous holder of the seat, resigned so that he could run for Congress and thought his wife would be a shoo-in in the district. She was better funded (Is that even proper grammar?) and was endorsed by Marco Rubio, who made robocalls today before the polls closed. This has to sting for the Florida GOP.

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Do we have any special elections for tomorrow night?

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Hurd is toast.

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I was expected #thepersistence to tweet how they "got in the runoff with 30% of the vote" and how this showed how strong Reps are, but he didnt even mention it.

James Woods
‏Verified account @RealJamesWoods

#Republicans must vote in droves to have a fighting chance. Remember: you’re not only facing #Democrats. You’re fighting dead voters, illegal alien voters, and repeat voters. That is, if you can even get to the polls past Black Panthers intimidating you.

Typical GOTV method by Republicans: lies and fear.

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Democrat Vanessa Delgado beating Republican Rita Topalian 53.2-46.8% in mail-ins.

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Flores is going to win.

Of course you think he's going to.

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Limo was right and y'all were wrong, deal with it.

Wow. He just kept picking the Republican until one finally won. Wow. So impressive.

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hmm... oh boy i dont wanna apologize to limo

Limo will take your concession speech now

Limo's strategy is to continue betting against the Democrat until the broken clock hits the right spot. Remember he predicted that D+42 Pittsburgh seat going to the Republicans two years ago?

I will give him credit for correctly predicting Katie Hill's win in November when most of Atlas were unsure.

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Trump won this by 13 points but it’s pretty much solidly Democratic downballot, right? I’ll guess D+9.

Lmao. What happened here?

The Dems winning streak is over. Also, this district isn't really strongly Democratic, Stauber and Wardlow carried it.

I know, but Democrats have won special elections in districts FAR more Republican than this one is, often by a lot.

Yes, but that time period is over now. The pendulum is swinging back to Rs.

LOL

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Yeah the Dems down on Northam, but still easily winning this thing. Not hard to see why, what with the personal and statewide scandals.

I think it's more personal than anything. The statewide scandal news died out a week ago.

Yeah, there's been virtually nothing on Northam/Fairfax, it's definitely candidate quality, and the Democrat still romped here.

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So it ended up being Samirah (D) +25, an 7-point swing from 2016 from the Democrats. I wouldn't panic about this since most of the vote that went away from us was to the independent candidate. Plus, Samirah has a pretty big anti-semitism scandal and that didn't stop him from pulling off a landslide victory, not to mention turnout was around 7%.

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Just saw a Raja ad for the special election here (SD-37) where it used Bernie Sanders and AOC to attack Pam Iovino.