State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2 (user search)
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  State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2  (Read 169285 times)
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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« on: April 10, 2018, 07:02:53 PM »
The district went 25% for Clinton. This is a 23% swing to the Democrats.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #1 on: April 10, 2018, 07:08:16 PM »
Quote from: PNM on April 10, 2018, 07:04:28 PM
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on April 10, 2018, 07:02:53 PM
The district went 25% for Clinton. This is a 23% swing to the Democrats.

But Atlas told me FL-Sen was tossup

This is indeed a bad sign for Rick Scott.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #2 on: April 10, 2018, 07:34:50 PM »
« Edited: April 10, 2018, 07:43:41 PM by PittsburghSteel »
Tami L. Donnally   
REP   7,614   
25.18%
Lori Berman   
DEM   22,621   
74.82%

99% in

25-point shift to the Democrats
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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P P
« Reply #3 on: April 10, 2018, 07:45:13 PM »
The Iowa Senate District went 26 points to Trump, and 9 points to Romney. This race will test how powerful the Dem swing is.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #4 on: April 10, 2018, 10:06:14 PM »
So we're looking at about a 14-point shift to the Democrats?
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #5 on: April 10, 2018, 10:44:01 PM »
A 14-point shift isn't bad at all
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #6 on: April 24, 2018, 07:59:17 PM »
Eyes on AD 05, 10, 17, and 107.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #7 on: April 24, 2018, 08:13:15 PM »
Looking VERY promising!
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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P P
« Reply #8 on: April 24, 2018, 08:14:47 PM »
Dem outperforming by 6 in the 74th. Doesn't seem much, but he's at 92%.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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P P
« Reply #9 on: April 24, 2018, 08:29:40 PM »
I think it' safe to say the Democrat is going to win SD-37
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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P P
« Reply #10 on: April 24, 2018, 08:37:32 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Griff on April 24, 2018, 08:34:25 PM
Mayer up by 3343 votes now. This is over:



It's been over.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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P P
« Reply #11 on: April 24, 2018, 08:39:26 PM »
The R's lead is shrinking in the 142nd. Went from +10 to +6
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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P P
« Reply #12 on: April 24, 2018, 08:41:31 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on April 24, 2018, 08:40:46 PM
Anti-Cuomo effect out in full force. Rightward swings from 2016 in 2/4 races that have a significant chunk of the vote in. And you people laughed at me.

We still are. You're making assumptions with only 2% of the vote in.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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P P
« Reply #13 on: April 24, 2018, 08:42:20 PM »
STERN LEADING BY 11 in 10!!
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #14 on: April 24, 2018, 08:44:56 PM »
And it looks like we're taking 10
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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P P
« Reply #15 on: April 24, 2018, 08:53:35 PM »
Stick a fork in it. AD-10 is a D pick up.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #16 on: April 24, 2018, 08:54:28 PM »
Stern now up by over 1000 votes
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #17 on: April 24, 2018, 09:03:55 PM »
VOTE DUMP: Dem is now UP in 102 by 6
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #18 on: April 24, 2018, 09:13:33 PM »
The swing in AD-10 was 13%, which is in-line with the national average.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #19 on: April 24, 2018, 09:16:45 PM »
Even if we do lose 102, it would still be at least a 20-point swing
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #20 on: April 24, 2018, 09:20:55 PM »
AD-10 was the 40th legislative seat the GOP lost under Trump.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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P P
« Reply #21 on: April 24, 2018, 09:23:27 PM »
Vote Dump: 142nd district. R is up 100 votes.

This would be a HOLD for the GOP though, since the current holder won as a Republican.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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P P
« Reply #22 on: April 24, 2018, 09:25:00 PM »
Overall, this is turning out to be a fairly decent night for the NY Democrats. Sorry, Limo.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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P P
« Reply #23 on: April 24, 2018, 09:27:33 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Griff on April 24, 2018, 09:26:34 PM
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on April 24, 2018, 09:23:27 PM
Vote Dump: 142nd district. R is up 100 votes.

This would be a HOLD for the GOP though, since the current holder won as a Republican.

The "Republican" is actually a Democrat who will caucus with the Democrats. Mainly, this was a D vs D race ("progressive" versus "labor", if you will). You can thank the dumb fusion system for this confusion.

Ok that's a relief!
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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P P
« Reply #24 on: April 24, 2018, 09:31:16 PM »
Doran is up BIG.

61-39%
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