who do you THINK will win the Democratic nomination?

[© tweed]

May 2006

Mark Warner 42.5%
Hillary Clinton 37.5%
Al Gore 6.3%
John Edwards 3.1%
Other 10.9%

August 2006

Mark Warner 37.2%
Russ Feingold 20.9%
Hillary Clinton 20.9%
Al Gore 11.6%
John Edwards 4.7%
Other 4.7%

November 2006

Hillary Clinton 43.2%
Barack Obama 24.3%
Al Gore 10.8%
Evan Bayh 10.8%
John Edwards 5.4%
Other (excl. Feingold) 5.4%

March 2007

Hillary Clinton 41.7%
Barack Obama 27.8%
John Edwards 5.6%
Al Gore 2.8%
Other 22.2% [most of these people with Richardson in mind]

April 2007

Barack Obama 35.2%
Hillary Clinton 27.8%
John Edwards 18.5%
Bill Richardson 13%
Al Gore 3.7%
Other 1.9%

June 2007

Hillary Clinton 44%
Barack Obama 32%
Al Gore 16%
John Edwards 4%
Other (excl. Richardson) 4%

July 2007

Hillary Clinton 55.6%
Barack Obama 20%
Al Gore 11.1%
Bill Richardson 8.9%
John Edwards 2.2%
Other 2.2%

August 2007

Hillary Clinton 70.5%
Barack Obama 11.4%
Bill Richardson 9.1%
John Edwards 6.8%
Other (excl. Gore) 2.3%

September 2007

Hillary Clinton 71.2%
Barack Obama 13.6%
John Edwards 8.5%
Bill Richardson 5.1%
Al Gore 1.7%

October 2007

Hillary Clinton 80.8%
Al Gore 7.7%
Barack Obama 3.8%
John Edwards 3.8%
Bill Richardson 1.9%
Other 1.9%

November 2007

Hillary Clinton 62.2%
Barack Obama 26.7%
John Edwards 11.1%

December 21-23, 2007

Hillary Clinton 46.7%
Barack Obama 37.8%
John Edwards 15.6%

December 31, 2007 - January 2, 2008

Hillary Clinton 46.2%
Barack Obama 33.3%
John Edwards 20.5%

January 5-8, 2008

Barack Obama 78.4%
Hillary Clinton 19.6%
Al Gore 2%

January 10-13, 2008

Hillary Clinton 56.4%
Barack Obama 40%
Al Gore 3.6%

[Adlai Stevenson]

Please let it be Obama! 

[MarkWarner08]

Lady Macbeth beats O'bambi.

[TheGlobalizer]

Obama.  Hillary's the type of person that is easy to hate.

The only problem for Obama is that 1/2 black is too black for a lot of people (and not enough for some).

[NHPolitico]

Hillary, as much as I hate to admit it. She wants this too bad and there's no sign that she won't get away with using every dirty trick in her bag.

[Tender Branson]

I have no clue how Obama could win California. With NH, Obama probably would have passed Clinton in NV (well, he got more delegates anyway) and would have had a better chance in CA than now. I predict Clinton to win CA by 5-10%. Maybe he can make the delegate race close, by continuing to win more delegates than Clinton, despite losing the popular vote.

[Ben.]

Ask me after SC... as of now Clinton.

If SC is a solid Obama win and if the result in FL is pretty close (either way) then Feb 5 is going to be very interesting. 

[Kaine for Senate '18]

LOL at Edwards having the same chance as Gore.

[7,052,770]

Hillary Clinton

[TomC]

Obama

[JSojourner]

Why is Gore still on the poll?  (Is that for me, because I still dream of him getting in?)

[Nym90]

Probably Clinton realistically, but Obama certainly still has a shot.

[Angel of Death]

Why is Gore still on the poll?  (Is that for me, because I still dream of him getting in?)

Brokered convention or terrorist attack at a debate.

[Lief 🗽]

Clinton.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Hillary, Obama can't compete with the Clinton noise machine.

[Eraserhead]

Obama

[perdedor]

Al Gore, obviously. [/sarcasm]

In all seriousness, it will probably be Clinton...which hurts. I like to think that Obama can still rally up enough support to come back strong on super Tuesday, but I'm not confident.

[Sam Spade]

Hilldawg.

[Eraserhead]

Al Gore, obviously. [/sarcasm]

In all seriousness, it will probably be Clinton...which hurts. I like to think that Obama can still rally up enough support to come back strong on super Tuesday, but I'm not confident.

An SC victory will be very helpful. Obviously that is a must win.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

It would now be very surprising if it isn't Clinton.

An SC victory will be very helpful. Obviously that is a must win.

Certain people will make it very clear that a majority (or close to it) of Democratic voters in SC are black.

And that will be that. Sorry.

[exopolitician]

It would now be very surprising if it isn't Clinton.

An SC victory will be very helpful. Obviously that is a must win.

Certain people will make it very clear that a majority (or close to it) of Democratic voters in SC are black.

And that will be that. Sorry.

It will still show he isnt a one hit wonder and is able to win in the south and midwest. It will definately be good for him, and it will make it even more competitive and intesting going into Feb. 5th.

btw, I just saw Obama's nationwide cable ad he bought out. It was a good ad.

[Lief 🗽]

Yeah, I don't see how Obama can win at this point. When he wins South Carolina, even if it's by 10 points or more, the media will just point out that he won it because he's the black candidate. Then Clinton will crush him in Florida and win on Super Tuesday.

[auburntiger]

I think where Obama is now, Gore was 20 years ago...
Gore's election in 1984 was a Dem pick-up of an open GOP seat, Obama's was the same in '04.
Gore ran for president in 1988 later as a young, fresh face... Obama in 2008.
Gore lost the nomination in 1988, but was picked as a VP in 1992 and that ticket won... maybe Obama in 2012.

Clinton/Gore 1992...does that parallel a Warner/Obama ticket in 2012? Assuming a McCain nominee and GE victory in Nov against Hillary

[ShadowRocket]

Hillary Clinton.

[ShadowRocket]

Clinton/Gore 1992...does that parallel a Warner/Obama ticket in 2012? Assuming a McCain nominee and GE victory in Nov against Hillary

That's not a bad ticket. But I would prefer Warner/Brown myself.