German Election Results Thread

[minionofmidas]

What's with the pattern of FDP support in Schleswig-Holstein?

Presumably some of it is a Hamburg suburbia thing.

It extends quite far, if that's the case.

And Pinneberg would have to be darker.

I'd say it's got a lot to do with the overlap of state and federal elections, the deserved unpopularity (no, that's not quite right. People think he's a nice enough guy, just out of his depth in his current job.) of one Mr Carstensen, and the undeserved popularity of one Jürgen Kubicki (strongman of the Schleswig-Holstein FDP, old Möllemann buddy, utterly unscrupulous populist, very good at attacking the CDU from the Left, Right, and Center at once). And perhaps with affluence and protestantism.

[minionofmidas]

What other cities might you be happiest to do?

Just about anywhere, I think. Though larger ones first.

Hamburg?

Stadtteile results (excluding postals) from page 18

You hopefully still have your old map template.

Just in case:

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Surely "old Möllemann buddy" and "utterly unscrupulous populist" mean the same thing

The left parties by constituency set will be up either later tonight or at some point tomorrow morning/early afternoon, btw.

What other cities might you be happiest to do?

Just about anywhere, I think. Though larger ones first.

Hamburg?

Stadtteile results (excluding postals) from page 18

You hopefully still have your old map template.

Just in case:

Yeah, Hamburg will do. Might be interesting to see the differences between the last City State elections there.

[Hash]

Munich and Berlin would be fun. The latter especially.

[minionofmidas]

Munich and Berlin would be fun. The latter especially.

Berlin is difficult. No readily recognized units between boroughs and precincts. There are the former boroughs of course, which everybody recognizes, but are not officially recognized units. There are the Stadtteile, statistical entities that are mostly  little known (where they are different from the former boroughs) but quite well recognized in suburban Berlin, but I've never seen a result compiled by them. I actually tried to do approximate ones myself once. I suppose it would be possible to do a map by the city council constituencies.

(checks) Indeed it would. Results on page 50ff, and a map of that type but with far too few different shades on page 87

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Bigger version in the gallery

[Meeker]

The Greens look like more of a national party from that map than the SPD does.

[Hash]

The Greens look like more of a national party from that map than the SPD does.

The Greens are an urban party.

[minionofmidas]

The Greens also have this pattern (usually. Certain exceptions last year come to mind) of less regional deviation when they do well. The reason should be obvious.

[minionofmidas]

http://wahlen.stadt-koeln.de/bundestagswahl/2009/wahlpraesentation/index.html

Cologne o/c.

(Normalcy restored in Sürth btw as the Greens come fourth, though on 20% of the vote.)

[ChrisJG777]

Bigger version in the gallery

Personally I find it somewhat ironic that the bulk of The Left's support should come from former East Germany.

[minionofmidas]

That's odd. Other people just find it "ironic" (usually they just mean displeasing to them) that the fall of the wall has allowed the Commies to regain a footing in the west.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

As far as the Greenies go, I'm always mildly surprised at how well they do in parts of Württemberg.

[minionofmidas]

Oh aye. Pattern goes back all the way to 1980.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Oh aye. Pattern goes back all the way to 1980.

Is there any reason for it, or is it just one of those odd patterns that happen (almost) just because they do?

Btw, have started on the Hamburg set.

[minionofmidas]

Just because some explanations have been attempted doesn't necessarily mean they explain things.

[minionofmidas]

Little oddities I've been thinking about trying to understand but never have gotten around to, chapter 37

Why does Pforzheim city vote a little less "urban" than the surrounding district?

This year's results:
Pforzheim CDU 35.9, SPD 20.3, FDP 18.6, Greens 10.2, Left 8.8
Enzkreis CDU 33.8, FDP 20.2, SPD 19.9, Greens 12.1, Left 6.7

Alright, so the Left result doesn't look odd.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Note that while the CDU narrowly led on the list vote overall, they didn't if postals aren't included and postals aren't included in the figures used to make these maps. Bigger version here.

For comparision (though note that the values of the colours are different) the results of the 2008 elections in the city.

And, yes, the Left did win a Stadtteil.

[minionofmidas]

And, yes, the Left did win a Stadtteil.

Which has next to no people in it. But a lot of warehouses and port facilities.

(Left also won a precinct in Frankfurt, and not really where you'd expect it. And at least two Saar municipalities - didn't check everything, and didn't check for the reason of trying to find Left wins, either.)

Normalcy restored for the Green map. Well, sort of. Too low compared to the national result (same goes for Frankfurt. Same reason, too. Wonder how many millennia it'll take the media to take note.)
Eimsbüttel looks weird with all those narrow SPD wins in the outer part of the borough - the posh bits by the Außenalster stand out much more thanks to that. (Though, predictably-but-not, they stand out best on the turnout map actually.)

[minionofmidas]

What kind of place votes like that?

1854 valid votes, CDU 686, Greens 367, FDP 340, SPD 190, Left 145. And "The Violets - Party for Spiritual Politics" in seventh place (behind the Pirates) at 20 votes, or above one percent.

Herdwangen-Schönach. Place in white hidden under the big bold W here.

Wiki throws up a company producing minesweepers, a church called "St Eulogius" and straddling the Rhine-Danube Continental Divide, and this place. The word "anthroposophisch" here probably explains a lot...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Little oddities I've been thinking about trying to understand but never have gotten around to, chapter 37

Why does Pforzheim city vote a little less "urban" than the surrounding district?

This year's results:
Pforzheim CDU 35.9, SPD 20.3, FDP 18.6, Greens 10.2, Left 8.8
Enzkreis CDU 33.8, FDP 20.2, SPD 19.9, Greens 12.1, Left 6.7

Alright, so the Left result doesn't look odd.

What's Pforzheim like?

[minionofmidas]

Little oddities I've been thinking about trying to understand but never have gotten around to, chapter 37

Why does Pforzheim city vote a little less "urban" than the surrounding district?

This year's results:
Pforzheim CDU 35.9, SPD 20.3, FDP 18.6, Greens 10.2, Left 8.8
Enzkreis CDU 33.8, FDP 20.2, SPD 19.9, Greens 12.1, Left 6.7

Alright, so the Left result doesn't look odd.

What's Pforzheim like?

Gee, I haven't been there for eighteen years.

[minionofmidas]

Whoa.

CSU    66    25,00%
SPD    82    31,06%
FDP    19    7,20%
GRÜNE    13    4,92%
DIE LINKE    48    18,18%

Stadlern. One of two municipalities in Schwandorf district (in the Oberpfalz) to be carried by the SPD. Turnout of 59%. I'm not sure whether this result (or even the eligible voters number) includes postal voters.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Working on the Cologne map now - or to be more accurate, looking through results in certain areas to work out the keys. Anyway. The FDP percentage in one posh urban area. Wow.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

There were two ties. Not sure how well the somewhat-purple-ish-offwhite-shade chosen for ties here shows up well, but I don't like doing the stripes thing.