Is it just me or are their demographic samples skewed? Based on the exit polls from 2012 in Florida, they seem to have over-sampled African Americans and under-sampled Hispanics. NYTimes exit polls has African Americans making up 13% of the 2012 FL electorate, and Hispanics 17%, yet the poll here shows 16% African American and 14% Hispanic. How would the AA share jump like that and why would the Hispanic share be
lower than 2012? Even if we ignore the likely Hispanic voter surge this cycle, demographic changes alone would put the Hispanic electorate past 2012's share.
So am I missing something here or...?
Putting aside their clear errors there, 70%+ of the 18-29 vote for
Clinton in FL would be somewhat consistent with voting patterns of people 18 - 29 since 2004. FL youth
(18-29) voted Democratic
58% in 2004,
61% in 2008, and
66% in 2012. So against the Donald, it wouldn't surprise me if she cracked 70%, though, not
78%.
