PPP vs. Nate Silver and potentially cooked polls (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 05, 2024, 07:21:03 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Process
  Polling (Moderator: muon2)
  PPP vs. Nate Silver and potentially cooked polls (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: PPP vs. Nate Silver and potentially cooked polls  (Read 16483 times)
Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« on: September 20, 2013, 04:05:05 AM »

Nate Cohn offers more criticism of PPP here:

http://www.newrepublic.com/article/114769/ppp-methodology-results-arent-defense

essentially arguing that it looks like PPP uses ad hoc weighting to get their results closer to the polling average, in cases where other pollsters have already polled the race.


I've had this thought before.

1. Start a fake polling company.
2. Release bogus polls that simply report results close to averages of previously published polls.
3. Be right most of the time (and when you're wrong, everyone else is too).
4. Establish a great reputation as the most accurate pollster.

(Leap of faith)

5. Make money.

Tongue
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 12 queries.