SC PrimR: ARG: Romney slightly ahead of Gingrich, Paul strong but Santorum is crashing (user search)
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  SC PrimR: ARG: Romney slightly ahead of Gingrich, Paul strong but Santorum is crashing (search mode)
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Author Topic: SC PrimR: ARG: Romney slightly ahead of Gingrich, Paul strong but Santorum is crashing  (Read 1645 times)
TheGlobalizer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,286
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.84, S: -7.13

« on: January 13, 2012, 11:56:07 AM »


Holy sh**.
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TheGlobalizer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,286
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.84, S: -7.13

« Reply #1 on: January 13, 2012, 12:22:31 PM »


ARG's South Carolina polls in 2008 were really sh*tty.

But let's wait for the PPP poll that's coming out later today and we'll see if Paul is surging or not.

He's clearly surging based on other polls, but I certainly didn't expect to see a poll, even a bad one, with him at 20%.  Agree that PPP is much more dispositive, I'm guessing ~15% in that one.
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TheGlobalizer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,286
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.84, S: -7.13

« Reply #2 on: January 13, 2012, 12:25:59 PM »

Paul winning South Carolina would be hilarious. How would the media even attempt to explain that one?

I would love to see them try.  Epic discomfort.
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TheGlobalizer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,286
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.84, S: -7.13

« Reply #3 on: January 13, 2012, 02:04:09 PM »

FWIW, PPP also finds Gingrich gaining and Santorum fading.

Actually...

@ppppolls
PublicPolicyPolling
Big gainer since last week in our SC poll: Ron Paul. Big loser since last week: Rick Santorum. Little change for most others

Wonder if DeMint's favorable comments grew legs.  Also wonder if Krauthammer's op-ed will soften some of the establishment right's objectionism.
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TheGlobalizer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,286
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.84, S: -7.13

« Reply #4 on: January 13, 2012, 02:29:14 PM »

FWIW, PPP also finds Gingrich gaining and Santorum fading.

Actually...

@ppppolls
PublicPolicyPolling
Big gainer since last week in our SC poll: Ron Paul. Big loser since last week: Rick Santorum. Little change for most others

Wonder if DeMint's favorable comments grew legs.  Also wonder if Krauthammer's op-ed will soften some of the establishment right's objectionism.

So Santorum's voters are going to Paul???

Clearly a shuffle going on, but it sounds like that's how it nets out.
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TheGlobalizer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,286
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.84, S: -7.13

« Reply #5 on: January 13, 2012, 03:30:52 PM »

I honestly thought the best Paul could get in SC would be maybe fourth or third, but looking at this momentum I'd say its entirely possible he could actually win and create the Bizzaro World of elections (The moderate wins Iowa and New Hampshire, the libertarian wins South Carolina), seeing as how Gingrich is apparently the last non-Paul non-Romney candidate with strength left, and he's devoted himself to a scorched earth strategy against Romney.

What a f**king weird world it would be if Ron Paul breaks through in SOUTH CAROLINA.  Boggles the mind.
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TheGlobalizer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,286
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.84, S: -7.13

« Reply #6 on: January 13, 2012, 03:39:13 PM »

Agree that PPP is much more dispositive, I'm guessing ~15% in that one.

Dead on:

South Carolina: Romney 29, Gingrich 24, Paul 15, Santorum 14, Perry 6, Huntsman 5, Roemer 1: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/01/romney-leads-in-sc-paul-gaining.html
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