KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

The one bad thing about Bevin being toppled is that more money is going to be lit ablaze on McGraft’s behalf. Will probably be the most expensive Senate race ever at this point and there’s a good chance she might not even hit 40%

[Xing]

I'll admit that gubernatorial races in red states are (generally) more winnable for Democrats than I thought, but people need to learn that this isn't the case for Senate races. Even if Edwards wins, that doesn't make Cassidy vulnerable, nor does Baker's win make MA-SEN winnable for Republicans. Kentucky appears to be a state where Democrats can still win statewide races (under favorable circumstances), but federal races are a different story.

[Pollster]

Kentucky GOP visibly worried about Matt Jones

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems have AZ, CO, IA, ME and NC as their pathway to Senate; as a result, Ernst can lose should Biden be on ballot. This seat is definitely 2nd tier, but in 2008, wave, where Dems won 8 seats, its winnable

[SnowLabrador]

Safe R with McGrath, she is running a terrible campaign and couldn't win KY-6 in a Democratic wave. Likely R with Adkins, who is a far more competent candidate who will do much better in eastern Kentucky. However, McConnell is not losing regardless.

[Stranger in a strange land]

Kentucky GOP visibly worried about Matt Jones

hahahhahaha

[OSR stands with Israel]

https://twitter.com/matthewjdowd/status/1191903500290199552?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw


https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1191921072075083776?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw


Surprised ABC is more wrong than Cook

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I stated before, 2008 produced 5-8 seats. AZ, CO, IA, ME and NC are Dems pathway to Senate majority.  KY and VA results made it much more likely that Biden, not Warren wins the nomination.  Biden can penetrate Appalachia. KY, KS , SC, TX and AK are Dems wish list; as a result, a Dems can duplicate a 2008 wave, Trump, is a Palin R, not a Reagan R, due to changing Demographics of Blacks and Latinos making up 40% of population

[DINGO Joe]

Maybe it's just "coincidence" but literally two days after the KY election, McConnell signed on to plan to provide funding to insolvent coal miner pensions that he'd been blocking for a couple of years now.

Link

He'd been blocking it because Tea Party types and Wyoming (for they're own grifty reason) didn't want it, but daddy has to watch out for his own butt right now.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

2008 is even more probable and throwing out conventional wisdom, with Trump and his Tea Party conservative R party in the House and Senate, they will slip further into minority status, just like 2009-11 wave years

[Pollster]

New Democratic candidate, positioning himself clearly to McGrath’s left

https://twitter.com/booker4ky/status/1193974283992780805?s=21

[KaiserDave]

Not Rocky. Not a chance of making this anything other than Safe R.

[coolface1572]

Could Matt Jones beat Mitch Mcconnell? I'm sure he has a better chance than Mcgrath.

[SnowLabrador]

No, but you're right that he'd do better than McGrath.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

McConnell will have a competetive race, regardless, as long as Biden, who does well in Appalachia,  is the nominee

[voice_of_resistance]

I'd say if the race was held today McConnell wins 55-45 or so. Depending on the national environment, this could get as close to 53-47 or 52-48, but barring scandals or any new degree of sleaze we haven't yet seen from Moscow Mitch, I fail to see how Jones would outright beat McConnell. Adkins is probably the only one who could.

[KaiserDave]

I'd say if the race was held today McConnell wins 55-45 or so. Depending on the national environment, this could get as close to 53-47 or 52-48, but barring scandals or any new degree of sleaze we haven't yet seen from Moscow Mitch, I fail to see how Jones would outright beat McConnell. Adkins is probably the only one who could.

Adkins is our only hope. But I maintain he'll still lose.

[QAnonKelly]

Honestly Ds would be smart to get behind a primary challenger to McConnell.

[DINGO Joe]

Honestly Ds would be smart to get behind a primary challenger to McConnell.

Bevin did it once, and he ain't busy now.

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/RuralChrisLee/status/1195358378421374982

[Gass3268]

Sounds like Rocky Adkins is gonna jump in.

[Pollster]

McGrath vs. Adkins vs. Booker could wind up looking a lot like Beshear vs. Adkins vs. Edelen.

[Skill and Chance]

Sounds like Rocky Adkins is gonna jump in.

Makes sense.  At this point, it will be 8 years before he gets another chance at governor, and his state legislative seat will only get more R over time. 

[JMT]

Today it was announced that Rocky Adkins is taking a position in Governor-elect Andy Beshear's administration. Therefore, he will be resigning his State House seat and will NOT be running for U.S. Senate.

https://www.kentucky.com/news/politics-government/article237959839.html

[JMT]

It also looks like former Lexington Mayor Jim Gray will be out of the running for U.S. Senate as well; Beshear appointed Gray to be his Secretary of Transportation today.

https://www.kentucky.com/news/politics-government/article237957439.html