Can the very enlightened posters saying Colorado please tell me where the votes for Donald Trump are coming from? (Presumably the same place all of their other analysis comes from which is their asses?) Are the moderate Jeff Co suburbanites going to get amnesia and forgot that they voted for a progressive governor who ran on guaranteed kindergarten to vote for Donald Trump?
IA isn't likely to flip but the votes are definitely there for the right candidate. "Three Democratic Reps!" is a meme at this point but if you're comparing Iowa to a state where Democrats annihilated Republicans statewide en route to a solid trifecta then it obviously counts for something.
There is not only nowhere for Trump to gain votes but a vast and infinite everywhere for Democrats. Colorado will hurtle towards one-party state status pretty quickly. I don't get how people didn't see it happen first with California, then Washington state, then Oregon, then New Mexico. Colorado is so far underway that it's pretty much a done deal. Nevada will be the next domino to fall. Then Arizona... The demographic changes going on in the West should be a canary in a coal mine for the GOP.
Now, this demographic trend, while weaker in Iowa and counteracted by the rural white transition to the GOP, is still strong enough that a candidate like Sanders who could max out the urban, educated, and diverse vote that exists and win over enough white working class voters to squeeze by, could win in Iowa. Obama did it twice, and Democrats haven't really put out a candidate of his stature in a long time in Iowa.
Yeah, every state will trend D