Rate Clark County, Washington
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Question: Rate Clark County, Washington
#1
Safe D
 
#2
Likely D
 
#3
Lean D
 
#4
Tossup
 
#5
Lean R
 
#6
Likely R
 
#7
Safe R
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 46

Author Topic: Rate Clark County, Washington  (Read 922 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« on: January 17, 2019, 09:05:09 PM »

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clark_County,_Washington


Hillary won it by 316 votes



I would say tossup (who ever wins the election wins Clark County imo )
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I Can Now Die Happy
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« Reply #1 on: January 17, 2019, 09:10:17 PM »

Safe Trump, duh
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Big Abraham
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« Reply #2 on: January 17, 2019, 09:11:12 PM »

I grew up in Clark County. Anyway, it's between a tossup and tilt Democratic, leaning towards tilt Democratic
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #3 on: January 17, 2019, 11:32:03 PM »

I wonder what Greedo would rate this...
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LAKISYLVANIA
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« Reply #4 on: January 17, 2019, 11:38:56 PM »

Slightly more Republican-leaning than the nation. Clinton just won it in 2016 but she did win the PV by 3%. I agree that the winner of this election will probably win this county.

I rated it as toss-up.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #5 on: January 18, 2019, 12:36:13 AM »

Likely D. It seems to have flipped roles with Cowlitz county as the loggers and mill workers move to the right and the Portland commuters move to the left. Trump would have to be winning nationally handily before the Democrats lose Clark.
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #6 on: January 18, 2019, 01:19:23 AM »

Likely D. It seems to have flipped roles with Cowlitz county as the loggers and mill workers move to the right and the Portland commuters move to the left. Trump would have to be winning nationally handily before the Democrats lose Clark.

Trump did better in Clark in 2016 than he did Nationally and did better in Clark than Romney did.


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TDAS04
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« Reply #7 on: January 18, 2019, 11:46:07 AM »

Lean or likely D.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #8 on: January 20, 2019, 04:00:14 AM »
« Edited: January 20, 2019, 04:05:20 AM by Frenchrepublican »

Likely D. It seems to have flipped roles with Cowlitz county as the loggers and mill workers move to the right and the Portland commuters move to the left. Trump would have to be winning nationally handily before the Democrats lose Clark.

It’s not likely D, the county is two points to the right of the country as whole and you don’t have a very clear trend toward either party.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #9 on: January 20, 2019, 04:03:28 AM »

I would rate it tilt D (voted lean D) simply because I think Trump is the underdog at the moment in the presidential fight.
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #10 on: January 20, 2019, 04:11:27 AM »

Likely D
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #11 on: January 20, 2019, 04:12:30 AM »


How is a county that Trump only lost by 316 votes, and did better in that he did nationally Likely D
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Xing
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« Reply #12 on: January 20, 2019, 04:17:56 AM »

Lean D, since Vancouver is growing, and the county has trended Democratic since the 2000s.
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UncleSam
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« Reply #13 on: January 20, 2019, 04:26:23 AM »

It is obviously a tossup at this point, it was a tie in 2016 and there's no reason to think Trump will do worse there than he did in 2016. It'll most likely be decided by five points either way.
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Former President tack50
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« Reply #14 on: January 20, 2019, 11:50:26 AM »

Lean D, and closer to Likely D than tossup.

Both Cantwell and Clinton won by similar margins. However, while Clinton won the county by 0.2%; Cantwell won it by 6%

It definitely seems to be trending D.
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xingkerui
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« Reply #15 on: January 20, 2019, 03:14:34 PM »

there's no reason to think Trump will do worse there than he did in 2016

Apart from the fact that he's lost popularity there and Hillary wasn't exactly loved, of course.
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #16 on: January 20, 2019, 03:23:54 PM »

there's no reason to think Trump will do worse there than he did in 2016

Apart from the fact that he's lost popularity there and Hillary wasn't exactly loved, of course.

Trump did better in Clark County than even HW did in 1988
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xingkerui
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« Reply #17 on: January 21, 2019, 11:36:35 PM »

there's no reason to think Trump will do worse there than he did in 2016

Apart from the fact that he's lost popularity there and Hillary wasn't exactly loved, of course.

Trump did better in Clark County than even HW did in 1988

He did worse than Bush did both times, though, and the margin was almost identical to 2012.
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #18 on: January 22, 2019, 12:40:15 AM »

there's no reason to think Trump will do worse there than he did in 2016

Apart from the fact that he's lost popularity there and Hillary wasn't exactly loved, of course.

Trump did better in Clark County than even HW did in 1988

He did worse than Bush did both times, though, and the margin was almost identical to 2012.

Bush did better than his dad too and I believe even better than Reagan 1980
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