2009 New Jersey Governor's Race

[muon2]

This race is sickening. Corzine has been a terrible governor. He is making personal attacks on his opponents. And yet, he might actually win this race. As much as I like Christie, I almost want Corzine to win. New Jersey doesn't deserve Chris Christie. With polls showing that this race is actually close, I'm starting to think New Jersey needs four more years of ridiculous leadership just to wisen up.

I am fascinated by this analysis. If I covered up the names and the dates this post could have been made in IL four years ago. There was an incumbent that lacked the trust to run the state. He used personal attacks to drive up the negatives on his opponent. In the end there was a surge for the Green candidate who got 10% out of disgust for the whole race.

In the end, the incumbent Blagojevich won with less 50%. Let's hope history does not repeat too closely since I don't wish an arrested governor and impeachment on any state.

[muon2]

Christie - 61.5%
Corzine - 29%
Daggett - 8.1%

Those returns are with about 10 K votes total from Ocean Co.

[muon2]

Corzine ahead in first Gloucester results, 49.5%-39.6%-9.7%.

It's now 46-44-9 for Corzine with 6.5% reporting. Corzine carried Gloucester 53-43 in 2005.

[muon2]

Corzine ahead in first Gloucester results, 49.5%-39.6%-9.7%.

It's now 46-44-9 for Corzine with 6.5% reporting. Corzine carried Gloucester 53-43 in 2005.

Too partial for a trend - yet.

Corzine now behind in Gloucester by 46% to 45% with 19.4% reporting.

In 2005 Gloucester's vote closely matched the state as a whole, so it's a county worth watching.

[muon2]

Christie now ahead 55-38-7 statewide.

Yeah because Ocean County, strong Republican county, had an explosion of votes.  

Almost a quarter of Ocean has reported now.

[muon2]

With 19% from Bergen, Christie leads 49-47.

[muon2]

Bergen is showing something (19.2%)

Christie (R)- 49.1%
Corzine (D)- 46.6%
Daggett (I)- 4.2%

Posted about 4 minutes ago.

[muon2]

Corzine leading by 63% to 31% in Cumberland County. He won it by 57% to 39% in 2005.

Only 14% is in.  Too early to make projections.

Yep, with 35% in now it's a 52-41-5 margin.

[muon2]

Big batches of votes are in from Democratic strongholds. This isn't looking good for Corzine.

Christie's actually leading Union Co 52-40 with 23% in.

[muon2]

Union returns to normal with 69% in. It's 51-43-5 for Corzine.

[muon2]

Christie now leading by 49% to 44%. Corzine wins Sussex County by 64% to 26%.

If it were true, this would be a huge upset.

It's also strange that it went from 0 to 100% reporting in a single splash.

[muon2]

Some counties do the single splash thing, but the Sussex vote makes zero sense, unless the Republicans forgot to vote there.

The total vote reported is consistent with the 2005 numbers. It looks like when they splashed they reversed the two columns.

[muon2]

Chhristie's holding on to Bergen 48.8 to 48.3 with 79% in. That's a margin of about 1000 votes out of about 200 K cast.

[muon2]

Christie is leading 48-45 in Atlantic with 58% in.

[muon2]

Since Hudson is 98% in and Essex is 84% in there probably aren't a lot of Dem strongholds left.