ProudModerate2
Atlas Star
Posts: 20,475
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« on: October 14, 2016, 04:35:28 PM » |
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I didn't read the article, but if I look at the "Chance of winning" percentages in the "Polls-Plus Forcast" model, New Hampshire's numbers are "Clinton 80.6%" and "trump 19.4%" Out of all the states in the 272 Firewall, this (N.H.) is the lowest percentage for Hillary.
So what Nate is saying is just simply this. That according to his numbers 80.6% is the lowest. BUT IT IS STILL A VERY HIGH PROBABILITY (80.6%) that Clinton will win NH. It seems that some people are making to big of a fuss about this whole thing (again I did not read the article).
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