Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread

[KingSweden]

Gravis *still* hasn't put out their poll. Maybe the "big shift" puts Jones up 10.

Maybe they lost their darts.

This made me burst out laughing

[KingSweden]

I for one can’t believe J-Law is pro-Moore.

Wut

[KingSweden]

I just got home from voting with my grandparents. Hard to tell about turnout because of our small precinct but most polling places around here are very crowded.

I thought you weren't going to vote for anyone

This is what I said, "Me and my dad both supported Strange in the GOP primary and runoff. He says that he’s not voting this time." My dad isn't voting. I did

Did you write anyone in?

I voted for Jones

Atta boy

[KingSweden]

Seriously - let’s all pump the brakes on turnout anecdotes or “projections” from random local officials.

[KingSweden]

How do we expect the ultra-wealthy Mountain Brook (in non-Birmingham Jefferson County) to vote?

Isn't this the Whole Foods district? I remember there being a very Jones-favorable informal poll there.

I got the 2016 numbers for the three precincts that say they are in Mountain Brook:

Trump 66-Clinton 26
Shelby 80-Crumpton 20
Palmer 79-Putman 21

So, it is Safe R, but Trump noticeably underperformed.  Moore probably does even worse than Trump's numbers, but might still win comfortably.

That’s fair analysis, and I’m sure such a result suits Jones just fine

[KingSweden]

One MSNBC Exit Poll Question

Moore allegations are....
Probably/Definitely True- 49% (26 Probably/23 Definite)
Probably/Definitely False- 45% (29 Probably/16 Definite)

That's worse than most polls for Moore.  This could be a disaster.

On a side note, are there any Clinton-Moore voters?  Who would they be??

I can’t even begin to imagine a Clinton-Moore voter.

[KingSweden]

In regards to the pro-life and pro-choice number, I would take into consideration that more Democrats and moderates are likely turning out, so this is probably not entirely accurate

Worth bearing in mind too many southern blacks are pro-life, it just isn’t their red-line issue like for many evangelical whites