Post Random Maps Here 2.0.

[NHI]

Clinton Declines, Perot Shines

Perot: 276 (35.7%)

Bush: 159 (33.5%)

Tsongas: 103 (29.8%)

Arkansas Rising, Texas Falling

Clinton: 450 (45.7%)

Graham: 88 (34.0%)

Perot: 0 (20.2%)

Back to Reality, Somewhat

Clinton: 337 (51.2%)

McCain: 201 (47.4%)

A Democrat's Third Term

Bradley: 289 (49.8%)

Bush: 249 (48.3%)

Things Fall Apart

Romney: 278 (48.7%)

Bradley: 260 (49.3%)

No More Dynasties

Trump: 339 (40.4%)

Kennedy: 145 (30.2%)

Romney: 54 (27.4%)

Fait Accompli

Trump: 496 (50.7%)

Thune: 22 (20.9%)

Warner: 20 (27.1%)

[Blackacre]

(weighing whether to do 2048 or 2056 next from my series. Or whether to do midterms)

Either one (or both) sounds really interesting! I almost posted midterms from my series last night but I was too lazy

You're too kind! Alright, here's 2048 next!


President Tomás Lopez (D-NM)/Vice President Marcus Smith (D-WY): ~450 EVs, ~55%
Senator Scott Hatch (R-UT)/House Minority Whip Riley Keaton (R-WV): ~105 EVs, ~44%

To be honest, this one wasn't so exciting.

The Presidential election of 2048 saw a popular incumbent being re-elected. The election was actually unusually straightforward in that regard. President Lopez had a 55% approval rating, and he got 55% of the vote. Why would voters have wanted to change the direction of the ship of state anyway? Lopez had just recently passed Universal Basic Income and strengthened the Universal Health Care program that President Harris enacted way back in 2029. There was no war to argue over, no major scandal, no economic problems. Senator Hatch tried his best, and Rep. Keaton was an amazing choice for a running mate, but everybody sort of knew he didn't have a real shot at becoming President.

The map itself, though aesthetically hideous, serves as a present-day time capsule, containing elements of both the early-century Democratic Coalition and where the party currently is. It had been ages (read: 20 years) since the Dems pulled off a win in Wisconsin, for example, and states like New Jersey, Illinois, Minnesota, and Washington seemed to forget that they were supposed to be Republican strongholds. Older viewers felt a wave of nostalgia when these states came to their old partisan home. But there was room in this landslide for the states that had taken their place, too. Georgia, Texas, and Arizona were long-accustomed to voting Democratic, as unthinkable as that might have seemed in 2000 when President Lopez was born. Mississippi remained inelastic, but it had been majority-black for some time and was voting like it. West Virginia and its Appalachian brothers started voting Democratic in 2024 and haven't looked back since; Lopez carried every single county in the region.

Finally, there was the New West, rocky mountain states that have become more populated and urban thanks to the high-speed rail program known as BrownRoads. Four years ago, some of those states went the way of Colorado and voted for Lopez, but now, every single one of them voted together. Until now, Idaho had the longest streak of voting Republican in the nation, but now that honor belonged to Alabama. North Dakota stood alone; it hadn't seen the changes that its neighbors had.

There was one other modern political fixture present here, though somewhat masked by the eleven point PV win: splits within regions. You can see this in the 2044 election (page 11) as well: in this alignment, almost no region votes like a bloc. New England hasn't voted in unison since 2024. (Connecticut and New Hampshire didn't get the memo that New Jersey and Washington got, I guess) The South is split between Democratic Appalachia, Relic Republican white southerners, the New South states that went for Obama but nowadays act as swing states, and the majority-black Georgia and Mississippi. And so it goes with the rest of the nation. We're not as polarized as we used to be.

At the Congressional level, Democrats made gains in the House, even picking up the seat left vacant by Keaton, giving Dems every congressional district that's mainly in Appalachia for the first time in a long time. In the Senate, Dems got a net gain of +4, picking up seats in Arizona, Wyoming, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Tennessee, Florida, and Maine, but losing seats in Massachusetts, Virginia, and Delaware. They enter 2049 with a 66-38 majority. An open seat in New Mexico was filled by Ethan Jackson, (D) former White House Chief of Staff and political rockstar.

The future looked bright for President Lopez and the Democratic Party. But soon enough, everything would come crashing down...

[Adam the Gr8]

1988 Bush/Quayle vs Gore/Gephardt

George Bush (R-TX)/Dan Quayle (R-IN): 339, ~52%
Al Gore (D-TN)/Dick Gephardt (D-MO): 199, ~46%

[Adam the Gr8]

1960 Rockefeller/Bender vs Johnson/Humphrey

Nelson Rockefeller (R-NY)/George Bender (R-OH): 362, ~50%
Lyndon Johnson (D-TX)/Hubert Humphrey (D-MN): 175, ~48%

[Blackacre]

Here's a preview of the 2056 election: the state of the race in early October, before the debates and a possible October Surprise.
(30% is Tilt, 40% is Lean, 50% is Likely, 60% is Safe)



President Derek Richardson (R-SC)/Vice President Timothy Tang (R-WA): ~200 EVs,
 ~48%
Governor Anna Byrd (D-WV)/Rep. Dan Kushner (D-CA): ~190 EVs, ~47%
Tossup: ~165 EVs
278 to win

The pundit consensus: this is going to be a sh**tshow.

President Richardson's approvals are around 45%, disapproval around 40%. He's had some foreign policy victories and a few legislative accomplishments, but the economic situation isn't much better than it was four years ago. The GOP House majority was wiped out in the 2054 midterms, as well as GOP seats in state legislatures the nation over. (though they kept the Senate because that particular Senate class was last up in the 2048 landslide and so lacked enough Democratic pickup opportunities to retake the Senate) Richardson himself carries a lot of personal charisma, so he's not someone you'd want to write off even after a bad midterm.

On the Democratic side, things get really interesting. Former Minnesota Governor Matthew Winchester was the initial heavy favorite. He was a moderate Democratic governor from a Republican state, an elder statesman and an establishment darling who came closer than anyone else to getting the nomination in 2052. No major Democratic figure who might have picked him off seemed interested. Yes, he was a bit squishy, he'd been known to flip-flop on a few issues, and he didn't really excite the base, but the party seemed stuck with him nonetheless.

Then, everything changed when 90-year-old former President Kamala Harris came out of retirement to make a single plea to the one person she thought had a chance: outgoing two-term West Virginia Governor Anna Byrd. Anna Byrd, a liberal firebrand and the most popular Governor West Virginia has ever had. She who had cast her very first vote in 2024 for President Brown, a representative of the wholesale shift of Appalachia to the Democratic Party. She was a longshot, but after some encouragement from Harris and from Senate Minority Whip and Democratic Electoral Wizard Ethan Jackson (D-NM), she eventually jumped in. And she absolutely wrecked Winchester. At the convention, she chose Congressman Dan Kushner* (D-CA), chair of the House Foreign Affairs committee and another Democratic Elder Statesman, to join her ticket.

The general election campaign has been intense and close. Both candidates have had leads, but never more than 3% in the polling averages. While it would seem like Byrd would have the advantage due to liberals outnumbering conservatives by a large margin, Richardson's strong lead among moderates keeps him afloat, and gives him the chance to keep California, Texas, and Virginia in his column while also flipping Tennessee. It also puts some of the New West up for grabs. Meanwhile, Byrd realized something that no other Democrat has: Republican control of the whiter Deep South states has been shaky since Aaron Seagull took over the party. Even though the midterms in the South probably should have made this obvious to everybody, it was Byrd who decided to invest in states like Arkansas and Alabama, and her efforts are bearing fruit in state polling.

On the congressional level, Democrats are likely to hold onto their 25-seat majority, though whether they make gains or suffer losses is anyone's guess.  In the Senate, Republicans have a 55-49 majority to defend. When the current Senate class was last up in the 2050 Republican landslide, this is what the results were: (30% denotes pickup)


R+11

Republicans hope to maintain those gains and pick up further seats, mainly targeting Wyoming and Alaska where they see openings. Democrats are looking to make gains as well, mainly in Southern states that Byrd is leading in, Puerto Rico, and the New West. With as many as twenty Senate races featuring single-digits leads, the outcome is anyone's guess.

*No relation to Jared Kushner

[Blackacre]

(if anyone wants me to elaborate on a particular state and how it changed politically throughout this series, please say something, Id love to go deeper into this!)

[Adam the Gr8]

2000 John McCain/Tom Ridge vs Al Gore/John Kerry

John McCain (R-AZ)/Tom Ridge (R-PA): 325, ~49%
Al Gore (D-TN)/John Kerry (D-MA): 213, ~47%
Ralph Nader (G-CT)/Winona LaDuke (G-MN): 0, ~2%

[bagelman]

George Wallace Bush's results in 1984. His victory in Florida guaranteed a deadlock in the electoral college,

[Calthrina950]

A random map I made of a future Democratic Senator winning a landslide reelection in Colorado, against some generic Republican, 69-31%:

Also here: https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/novelas/images/8/88/Colorado_Senate_results%2C_2064.png/revision/latest/scale-to-width-down/752?cb=20170921014406.

[West_Midlander]

People's Republic of North Carolina presidential election, 2032

(Map didn't turn out too well)

[X] Peebs / West_Midlander
Socialist Party
Orange is "Liberty Party" -- right-wing to far right
Blue is "The Right" -- right-center
Light Blue is "American" -- American Unionist, centrist

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

So the winning candidate doesn't carry her (currently) safe D county?

[DeSantis4Prez]

Senator Jim Webb/Senator Kamala Harris: 282 Electoral Votes
President Donald Trump/VP Mike Pence: 256 Electoral Votes

[Bidenworth2020]

any thoughts

247-291 rep win.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

any thoughts

247-291 rep win.

What's your thought process here? what causes these results?

[Bidenworth2020]

i was thinking dan bumpers and Mike Beebe vs. trump 2020

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

i was thinking dan bumpers and Mike Beebe vs. trump 2020

I assume you mean Dale. A corpse from the same state as his running mate wouldn't get so close to the Presidency, and would be ineligible to get Arkansas's EVs.

[Mr. Smith]

2000 v. 2016

Tipping Point: Massachusetts.

2000 v. 2016

Tipping Point: Minnesota

[TheSaint250]

Election 2036: Road To 270

[P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong]

Election 2036: Road To 270

Cool!

[TheSaint250]

Election 2036: Road To 270

Cool!

Thanks

I always like making future stuff like this.

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

George Wallace Bush's

Who?

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

George Wallace Bush's

Who?

I believe he's discussing George Wallace's bush.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

George Wallace Bush's

Who?

I believe he's discussing George Wallace's bush.

Or George Wallace's sex life...

Blowjobs today, blowjobs tomorrow, blowjobs forever!

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

Reagan/Ford!!!

Fmr. Gov. Ronald Reagan/Fmr. Pres. Gerald Ford: 483 Electoral Votes, 53.1%
Pres. Jimmy Carter/VP. Walter Mondale: 55 Electoral Votes, 44.3%

The RNC was in suspense of who would be Ronald Reagan's running mate, however a deal was made with Former President Ford, who agreed to be VP. George Bush was passed over, however he would get a job in the Cabinet. At the Republican Convention, Republicans seemed United for Reagan, Anderspn decided to end his third party ambitions, and endorse Reagan. This gave Carter some more southern support, but on Election night, the President was destroyed.

[West_Midlander]

any thoughts

247-291 rep win.

Hm. Interesting map. I think perhaps a Southern Democrat / Iowan (or South Dakotan/Montanan) running mate vs. a conservative Pennsylvanian-turned-Georgian (or Virginian) / Californian running mate. I would guess the whole South would be very close and the margins wouldn't get much higher than ~5% in most of the Plains, West and North.