GA-PPP: Obama in decent position.

[Niemeyerite]

47% of voters in Georgia approve of the job Obama's doing while 48% disapprove.
39% have a favorable opinion of Gingrich, while 47% view him unfavorably.
Huckabee is the only potential candidate whom voters see favorably: 48/33.
Romney comes down at 37/41, while Palin is the most unpopular candidate (35/56). 28% of voters have a favorable opinion of Cain and 36% of them don't like him.


Huckabee 48% - Obama 45%
Romney 46% - Obama 43%
Obama 46% - Gingrich 45%
Obama 44% - Cain 39%
Obama 48% - Palin 43%

"If Newt Gingrich is looking for a solid show of support for his Presidential bid he won't find it in his home state of Georgia. Just 39% of voters in the state have a favorable opinion of him, to 47% with a negative one. Only 31% think he should seek the White House next year, to 50% who say he shouldn't run. And if he somehow snagged the Republican nomination there's a very decent chance he wouldn't even win the state against Barack Obama in the general election".

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2011/04/obama-in-decent-shape-in-georgia.html

[Fuzzybigfoot]

LOL     

[Tender Branson]

The new map:

Obama vs. Huckabee

Obama vs. Romney

Obama vs. Gingrich

Obama vs. Palin

[Tender Branson]

Obama should definitely try and waste a couple millions in GA next year ...

Even if it doesn't work out for him, it will still lead to Republicans spending considerable amounts of money in this otherwise strong GOP state.

[DrScholl]

These numbers are very surprising, obviously Huckabee would pull the strongest number, because of regional appeal, but it's still quite close. Gingrich is not very likable if he can't manage a lead in his home state, he is only down by one, but it still doesn't look great. Obama's base number is about where it was at in 2008, but he may be able to build on it.

[Brittain33]

Georgia's population has increased by 25% since he was last in office, plus many voters have died and new ones come of age, plus he only ever represented a part of the state, plus he was born and raised in the north so many Georgians might not even know he lives there...

[Verily]

And Gingrich represented a district that, while not uber-GOP then, is uber-GOP now, so there aren't a whole lot of swing voters he represented who might otherwise vote for Obama but remember Gingrich fondly.

Anyway, don't think Georgia is at a point where it could give Obama more than 48% of the vote (except against a train wreck like Palin), but the polls look right. Undecideds would break fairly Republican, however.

[pbrower2a]

And Gingrich represented a district that, while not uber-GOP then, is uber-GOP now, so there aren't a whole lot of swing voters he represented who might otherwise vote for Obama but remember Gingrich fondly.

Anyway, don't think Georgia is at a point where it could give Obama more than 48% of the vote (except against a train wreck like Palin), but the polls look right. Undecideds would break fairly Republican, however.

Newt Gingrich has become a trainwreck as a Presidential candidate. If he can lose his own state to President Obama, then what else does he lose? Everything that President Obama lost by less than 10% in 2008?

He might not be as incoherent as Sarah Palin or as nutty as Michelle Bachmann. Of Michelle Bachmann can't get her facts straight and thinks that the Constitution allows a political inquisition and Sarah Palin can contradict herself between independent and dependent clauses of the same sentence, Newt 'only' contradicts himself between successive paragraphs. It may have taken longer for Newt to expose himself as a reckless relay of shoddy ideas, but once the damage is done such damage is irreversible.

What is he in this Presidential race for? Money? Vanity? Access to willing women? I doubt that it is to put "Country First".

[Badger]

Anyway, don't think Georgia is at a point where it could give Obama more than 48% of the vote (except against a train wreck like Palin), but the polls look right. Undecideds would break fairly Republican, however.

True dat. To paraphrase Spade's cogent analysis, race's persistent role in southern politics makes Obama getting from 45ish% of the vote to 50.1% a much, much higher climb in Georgia than, say, Missouri or Montana.

[feeblepizza]

Well, it's a big surprise that Obama is leading Gingrich in his (former) home state. If anybody, I would have expected Romney to be losing. And it's also not good when Huck is leading by only 3.

[big bad fab]

I hope Gingrich will be terminally hurt by polls like this one.

Romney is doing pretty well, in the current environment, which is very favourable to Obama.

[California8429]

I don't see why everyone makes a big deal over Gingrich's polling in Georgia compared to other places. He's not Georgia's favorite son. Last time he served was over 10 years ago in a congressional district. He wasn't the Senator or Governor of the entire state. And his place was on national stage.

[Bacon King]

Yeah, Gingrich's numbers aren't very surprising at all. The only thong that really jumps out here is Obama's approvals.

[King]

I have a feeling that Georgia is going to spend the next decade and half as the next North Carolina (Dems lead in the summer, but goes GOP in the fall) before finally becoming a real tossup.