AR-PPP: Arkansas is Hillary County (unless Huckabee runs)

[IceSpear]

Looks like we can put the "Hillary has no chance in Arkansas" talk to rest.

I don't expect her to carry it the end against a decent Republican (or Huckabee), but it's pretty clear from several polls now that the state is in play.

[IceSpear]

2016 is going to be a landslide. We are due for one, too. The most amazing thing to me is that democrats are picking up red states quicker than you can say "damn". BTW, christie would not win a single section of the country if he runs against her. In my years of studying this stuff, I have never seen such dominant polling of one candidate. I have no idea why obama's crappy approval ratings virtually everywhere are not making republicans at least a little competitive.

Voters already know and like Hillary. Saying "hilery = obuma cuz both demonkrat" is not going to work outside of Free Republic and Breitbart.

Besides, 43% isn't THAT bad of an approval. McCain still got 46% of the vote even while Bush's approval was at 25%, so it doesn't have as big of an impact as many think.

[IceSpear]

Clinton vs. Bush, 12% of Romney voters choose Clinton.
Clinton vs. Christie, 14% of Romney voters choose Clinton.
Clinton vs. Huckabee, 11% of Romney voters choose Clinton.
Clinton vs. Paul, 14% of Romney voters choose Clinton.

The "someone else/don't remember" category were likely almost all Romney voters as well, and Hillary wins them overwhelmingly against everyone besides Huck.