Which two battlegroundish states are called first?
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  Which two battlegroundish states are called first?
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Question: Which two battleground states are called first?
#1
Arizona
#2
Georgia
#3
Minnesota
#4
Michigan
#5
New Hampshire
#6
Nevada
#7
Pennsylvania
#8
Wisconsin
#9
North Carolina
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Author Topic: Which two battlegroundish states are called first?  (Read 308 times)
Radicalneo
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« on: May 05, 2024, 07:36:02 PM »

When will they be called?
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Steve from Lambeth
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« Reply #1 on: May 05, 2024, 07:50:19 PM »

NH will be called fairly immediately for Biden; NC fairly-if-less immediately for Trump.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #2 on: May 05, 2024, 08:07:01 PM »

NH will probably be called around 9 or 10 for Biden regardless, and I suspect NC will go for Trump around the same time The West Coast is out.
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iceman
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« Reply #3 on: May 05, 2024, 10:20:45 PM »

North Carolina and Nevada
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mjba257
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« Reply #4 on: May 06, 2024, 07:23:08 AM »

NH and NC are fairly fast counting states, so unless they end up being far closer than polls predicted, they probably get called fairly quickly.

GA could end up being called before midnight depending on if Fulton has lower turnout and/or Biden is underperforming his 2020 margins in the Atlanta suburbs. That would indicate that Biden won't be able to make up for Trump's ungodly margins in the rurals and the networks can call the state.

In PA, mail-in and early votes report first and the first E-Day votes usually come in from Philly, so Biden is almost certain to start out with a big lead. But in that early batch, we may be able to get at ink-link at the final result based on if he's reaching his benchmarks. If he's not and Trump is meeting them as the rurals start to come in, that's not a good sign for Biden.

AZ and NV use sloths to count the votes, so we will likely be waiting a few years to know the final results there.

I don't know about MN, MI, or WI.
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iceman
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« Reply #5 on: May 06, 2024, 09:29:13 AM »

NH and NC are fairly fast counting states, so unless they end up being far closer than polls predicted, they probably get called fairly quickly.

GA could end up being called before midnight depending on if Fulton has lower turnout and/or Biden is underperforming his 2020 margins in the Atlanta suburbs. That would indicate that Biden won't be able to make up for Trump's ungodly margins in the rurals and the networks can call the state.

In PA, mail-in and early votes report first and the first E-Day votes usually come in from Philly, so Biden is almost certain to start out with a big lead. But in that early batch, we may be able to get at ink-link at the final result based on if he's reaching his benchmarks. If he's not and Trump is meeting them as the rurals start to come in, that's not a good sign for Biden.

AZ and NV use sloths to count the votes, so we will likely be waiting a few years to know the final results there.

I don't know about MN, MI, or WI.

I kinda thought NH counts very slow. In fact most of the northeastern states count very slow.

If Florida was in the choices, it would have been the most obvious answer and it can be called as early sa 9PM EST on ENight.
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mjba257
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« Reply #6 on: May 06, 2024, 09:46:43 AM »

NH and NC are fairly fast counting states, so unless they end up being far closer than polls predicted, they probably get called fairly quickly.

GA could end up being called before midnight depending on if Fulton has lower turnout and/or Biden is underperforming his 2020 margins in the Atlanta suburbs. That would indicate that Biden won't be able to make up for Trump's ungodly margins in the rurals and the networks can call the state.

In PA, mail-in and early votes report first and the first E-Day votes usually come in from Philly, so Biden is almost certain to start out with a big lead. But in that early batch, we may be able to get at ink-link at the final result based on if he's reaching his benchmarks. If he's not and Trump is meeting them as the rurals start to come in, that's not a good sign for Biden.

AZ and NV use sloths to count the votes, so we will likely be waiting a few years to know the final results there.

I don't know about MN, MI, or WI.

I kinda thought NH counts very slow. In fact most of the northeastern states count very slow.

If Florida was in the choices, it would have been the most obvious answer and it can be called as early sa 9PM EST on ENight.

Florida probably gets called exactly at 8 when the panhandle closes. As you said, Florida is an extremely fast counting state and the blue areas are usually the first to report. So the first returns will likely show a Biden lead, then the rest of the state comes in and Trump will quickly establish a comfortable lead. Then at 8 when the panhandle closes (which is as red as red can be) it'll be obvious Trump is winning the state 'cuz the only remaining counties to report are super red and he's already ahead.

As for NH, it counted pretty fast during the primary. 2016 took forever because the result was razor thin. But in 2020, if i recall, the final result came in pretty quick.
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Vern
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« Reply #7 on: May 06, 2024, 12:11:41 PM »

When they are done counting the ballots.
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