France 2012: the official thread

[Niemeyerite]

Aubry should win this... she's by far, a better candidate, a better socialist, too. But I'm OK with Hollande. Everyone is better than Sarko (not including Le Pen)

[Niemeyerite]

Thanks for that, Antonio. I didn't know who I would support if I were French (Joly or Hollande) but Sarkozy needs to loose and Hollande will be a good President.

[Niemeyerite]

Sorry guys, my life's real sh*** these days. Many, many professional and personal problems.
The tracker will be updated... soon.

So sorry to hear that.

^^^^

[Niemeyerite]

I wish you good luck with your work. You shall overcome!

[Niemeyerite]

Just read on SPIEGEL Online that Angela Merkel is planning to actively campaign for Sarkozy. This unprecedented move has supposedly pissed off Hollande and the French socialists pretty bad.

Any word on this in French media??

http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/0,1518,813455,00.html

This may backfire. Merkel is the new Bismarck. French people should HATE her ¬¬

[Niemeyerite]

Thanks, Antonio, for your opinion here. It makes a young guy believe in youth ^^

[Niemeyerite]

PSOE is really angry with Sarkozy. Everytime I watch the news or open "El Pais" there's a new commentary of a socialist politician demmanding Sarko to apologize for what he said (that with the left in France, the country would have been in the same situation that Spain or Greece).

One thing is true. The situation hasn't improved with Rajoy as President. Zapatero kept us below 400 points in the risk premium. Last Thursday it was at 410 IIRC. And workers have lost rights and can be fired more easily now, students like me are seeing the education go worse each year (thanks, Esperanza Aguirre), social security with PP isn't a priority... They're destroying the welfare state and the economy isn't improving (even if it was, I think it isn't worth of it if we don't have a reasonable education, rights, social security, etc)

[Niemeyerite]

My French teacher will vote for Melenchon (Hollande in the 2nd round).

[Niemeyerite]

Phil, do you realize that Toomey was supposed to win as polls predicted, while Sarko is expected to lose?

Oh, and IIRC, Toomey won by a hair at the end.

[Niemeyerite]

Toomey didn't win re-election in 2010.

Unless you're saying that Sarkozy will come back again and win in 2017?

Ok, good thing I didn't say "Like Toomey won re-election in 2010." I said he won, as I predicted. Px pointed out a bad prediction I made. I pointed out a good one. Next...

OK, but I don't really get what you're saying.  Like I asked, did you mean that Sarkozy is going to come back to run again and win in a future election?

...

Ok, I clarified this: px cited a bad prediction of mine to make a joke about how my predictions are wrong. I pointed to a correct prediction of mine so disprove this idea that the opposite of my predictions usually come true. It has nothing to do with Sarkozy winning a future election. You're reading too far into it.

Phil, do you realize that Toomey was supposed to win as polls predicted, while Sarko is expected to lose?

Oh, and IIRC, Toomey won by a hair at the end.

Ok, once again, you're applying my comment to performance. It has nothing to do with that. I'll spell it out very clearly:

Px smart ass routine -> Haha, Phil! Remember when you had that hilariously wrong prediction? This will end the same way.

My response -> Yeah, I got a prediction wrong. I've gotten others wrong, too, but here's an example of a correct prediction.

Really not hard to grasp, guys.

How can you say you're giving a correct prediction? Do you know something the rest of the people don't? Because even Fab, a French person living in France and supporting Sarkozy recognizes Hollande will win.

Let's talk about this on Monday 6th Then, you can say you're sure Santorum will be the nominee in 2016.