ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are

[junior chįmp]

So the Republican primary here is going to come down to a prick and a handsome cardboard cutout.

Heitkamp must be delighted right now.

Heitkamp was never going to lose anyway

[junior chįmp]

The only way Heidi was going to lose was if Hillary won in 2016

[junior chįmp]

Campbell is a choke artist....he ain't winning

[junior chįmp]

Rofl....Cramer loses it after seeing Heitkamp invited to the White House

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[junior chįmp]

Cramer cucked again:

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/06/01/koch-political-network-supports-heitkamp-for-bank-deregulation-bill.html?__source=sharebar|twitter&par=sharebar

Cramer is finished

[junior chįmp]

Why in the world are people speculating about T***p's f**king nicknames as if people actually voted based on them?

Because it's fun and is an excellent example of how immature our current President is and what a stupid time we are living in.

And how immature are we for focusing on this instead of all the ways his administration is screwing over this country (or, in this case, instead of meaningful electoral news)?

Yep! He is screwing us with a roaring economy.

Yep!  He is screwing us by ending climate change boondoggle spending.  You know I would believe you lefties were serious about climate change if you supported nuclear energy. Instead you suport all sorts of wild spending schemes.

Yes...the political party that turned America from the world's greatest creditor nation to the world's greatest debtor nation is one to talk of ''wild spending schemes''

The last time a Republican president and Congress balanced the budget was in the 1920s and yet somehow the word ''fiscally Conservative'' still exists

[junior chįmp]

Some good news i guess

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[junior chįmp]

Ffs, none of the red state Dems are voting to confirm Kavanaugh. They'd demoralize their base and sink their chances for reelection. If Heitkamp wins it's going to be because female voters put her over the top. And Heitkamp knows this.

As long as Schumer don't got 2 republicans in the bag, there will be at least one or two dems to vote for him. There is no base to piss off in WV, only room for Manchin to grow if he does the right thing for his reelection by voting yes. I don't like Kavanaugh, and in an ideal world, I would want to stop him. But we have to save our red state dems, so confirm him even if he did it (plus he was a minor at the time of the alleged incident). He will also be confirmed just like Clarence Thomas.

Nonody in WV cares about how Manchin votes on Kavanaugh

[junior chįmp]

Ffs, none of the red state Dems are voting to confirm Kavanaugh. They'd demoralize their base and sink their chances for reelection. If Heitkamp wins it's going to be because female voters put her over the top. And Heitkamp knows this.

As long as Schumer don't got 2 republicans in the bag, there will be at least one or two dems to vote for him. There is no base to piss off in WV, only room for Manchin to grow if he does the right thing for his reelection by voting yes. I don't like Kavanaugh, and in an ideal world, I would want to stop him. But we have to save our red state dems, so confirm him even if he did it (plus he was a minor at the time of the alleged incident). He will also be confirmed just like Clarence Thomas.

Nonody in WV cares about how Manchin votes on Kavanaugh

http://wvmetronews.com/2018/09/10/west-virginia-poll-voters-say-manchin-should-vote-to-confirm-kavanaugh/

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1jsIRwc4tYzz9WjDei-kUcYUED_OewwG6/view

Yeah...they tell the pollsters that but they dont actually care in real life. The polls said Garland should be confirmed and Dems lost anyway because people dont actually care about this stuff except on a superficial level

[junior chįmp]

Ffs, none of the red state Dems are voting to confirm Kavanaugh. They'd demoralize their base and sink their chances for reelection. If Heitkamp wins it's going to be because female voters put her over the top. And Heitkamp knows this.

As long as Schumer don't got 2 republicans in the bag, there will be at least one or two dems to vote for him. There is no base to piss off in WV, only room for Manchin to grow if he does the right thing for his reelection by voting yes. I don't like Kavanaugh, and in an ideal world, I would want to stop him. But we have to save our red state dems, so confirm him even if he did it (plus he was a minor at the time of the alleged incident). He will also be confirmed just like Clarence Thomas.

Nonody in WV cares about how Manchin votes on Kavanaugh

http://wvmetronews.com/2018/09/10/west-virginia-poll-voters-say-manchin-should-vote-to-confirm-kavanaugh/

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1jsIRwc4tYzz9WjDei-kUcYUED_OewwG6/view

Yeah...they tell the pollsters that but they dont actually care in real life. The polls said Garland should be confirmed and Dems lost anyway because people dont actually care about this stuff except on a superficial level

Trump will whip up this issue in ND and other states if they vote no, and it will be different.

Nobody cares what Trump thinks or whips up either. Trump held rallies for Saccone and Moore and they still lost. And those that won like Handel and Balderson barely made it when those races shouldnt of even been on the radar.

Atlas keeps acting like Trump had this enormous amount of power to single handedly defeat a candidate even though the GOP is barely holding seats that havent voted Dem in decades

[junior chįmp]

Ffs, none of the red state Dems are voting to confirm Kavanaugh. They'd demoralize their base and sink their chances for reelection. If Heitkamp wins it's going to be because female voters put her over the top. And Heitkamp knows this.

As long as Schumer don't got 2 republicans in the bag, there will be at least one or two dems to vote for him. There is no base to piss off in WV, only room for Manchin to grow if he does the right thing for his reelection by voting yes. I don't like Kavanaugh, and in an ideal world, I would want to stop him. But we have to save our red state dems, so confirm him even if he did it (plus he was a minor at the time of the alleged incident). He will also be confirmed just like Clarence Thomas.

Nonody in WV cares about how Manchin votes on Kavanaugh

http://wvmetronews.com/2018/09/10/west-virginia-poll-voters-say-manchin-should-vote-to-confirm-kavanaugh/

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1jsIRwc4tYzz9WjDei-kUcYUED_OewwG6/view

Yeah...they tell the pollsters that but they dont actually care in real life. The polls said Garland should be confirmed and Dems lost anyway because people dont actually care about this stuff except on a superficial level

Trump will whip up this issue in ND and other states if they vote no, and it will be different.

Nobody cares what Trump thinks or whips up either. Trump held rallies for Saccone and Moore and they still lost. And those that won like Handel and Balderson barely made it when those races shouldnt of even been on the radar.

Atlas keeps acting like Trump had this enormous amount of power to single handedly defeat a candidate even though the GOP is barely holding seats that havent voted Dem in decades

Morrisey and Cramer are much better candidates than Moore and Saccone, and WV and ND are much redder and have higher approval ratings for Trump than all of those places. Also it is midterm turnout, not special election crowds.

Doesn't matter. None of them will lose due to how they voted for Kavanaugh. If they lose then they were always going to lose. Its laughable that the GOP thinks that running on "appointing textualist judges" will bost GOP turnout. The average voter cant even spell textualist let alone factor in these things when they go to vote.

Also....Obama won Illinois by 25% in 2008, held a high approval rating there, and the Dems still lost the Senate race there in 2010. Why? Because national enviorment and fundamentals matter more than how much someone won by in the previous election.

[junior chįmp]

Just to pretend that polling the polling showing Red State Dems doing worse when they vote for Kavanaugh instead of against doesnt exist, when has a Supreme Court appointment in anyway changed a significant amount of voters to sway an election?

Its never swayed an election but now Atlas wants to pretend that somehow things that have never mattered before now suddenly matter under Trump; the guy with a 38% approval rating with a booming economy.

[junior chįmp]

I think that by running about a million dollars worth of anti-Kavanaugh ads in North Dakota, it could be enough to move the polls back to a Heitkamp lead, even if one was to believe that the Cramer + 12 poll was legit.

It makes no difference. Atlas pretends it matters to explain away what it dont know. The goalposts of why someone wins or loses is constantly moving on this site

[junior chįmp]

I think that by running about a million dollars worth of anti-Kavanaugh ads in North Dakota, it could be enough to move the polls back to a Heitkamp lead, even if one was to believe that the Cramer + 12 poll was legit.

It makes no difference. Atlas pretends it matters to explain away what it dont know. The goalposts of why someone wins or loses is constantly moving on this site

If it makes no difference, then why did Conservative groups decide to spend millions of dollars on pro-Kavanaugh ads, with a heavy focus on North Dakota.

Because they're morons and political ads are money pits that just funnel money to consultants. The average voter could care less about the SCOTUS. If Heidi loses then she was always going to lose and not because of a SCOTUS vote that only highly partisan and already motivated voters care about

[junior chįmp]

Heitkamp is finished and she knows it



The other Poll who had Cramer up 10 want Kavernaugh confirmed something like 60-27.

From the SRA Poll that had Cramer up 10

So 34% of highly partisan and already motivated Cramer voters claimed it would of made them less likely to vote for someone they werent going to vote for anyway.

Noted

https://twitter.com/politicoalex/status/1047934249930772480

Either the race is completely over, or the NRCC is making another really stupid decision by forfeiting the entirety of the airwaves.

No...its just idiot strategists think a SCOTUS vote matters in a country where only 1% can name all 9 Justices

[junior chįmp]

I think that by running about a million dollars worth of anti-Kavanaugh ads in North Dakota, it could be enough to move the polls back to a Heitkamp lead, even if one was to believe that the Cramer + 12 poll was legit.

It makes no difference. Atlas pretends it matters to explain away what it dont know. The goalposts of why someone wins or loses is constantly moving on this site

If it makes no difference, then why did Conservative groups decide to spend millions of dollars on pro-Kavanaugh ads, with a heavy focus on North Dakota.

Because they're morons and political ads are money pits that just funnel money to consultants. The average voter could care less about the SCOTUS. If Heidi loses then she was always going to lose and not because of a SCOTUS vote that only highly partisan and already motivated voters care about

Wrong


People care because of all the media attention of it

What does this even mean. The vast majority of voters are indifferent to this whole fiasco. They are as indifferent to this as they were about the Iraq War being a lie, the budget deficits, the bailouts, Obama's Rev Wright scandal, Trump's pussy grabbing tape and his literally thousands of other scandals.

The American electorate is not some intensely interested group of people regardless if the media talks about it. Most just shrug while people on this site keep insisting it matters

[junior chįmp]

Well, Scott Brown didn't vote for Elena Kagan to be Associate SCOTUS Justice when he was in the Senate and that's why he lost in the end in 2012 and you keep telling us a SCOTUS Vote doesn't matter. Give me a break!

Yes...who can forget when Kent Conrad was thrown out of office for Ginsburg and Breyer lmao

[junior chįmp]

I think that by running about a million dollars worth of anti-Kavanaugh ads in North Dakota, it could be enough to move the polls back to a Heitkamp lead, even if one was to believe that the Cramer + 12 poll was legit.

It makes no difference. Atlas pretends it matters to explain away what it dont know. The goalposts of why someone wins or loses is constantly moving on this site

If it makes no difference, then why did Conservative groups decide to spend millions of dollars on pro-Kavanaugh ads, with a heavy focus on North Dakota.

Because they're morons and political ads are money pits that just funnel money to consultants. The average voter could care less about the SCOTUS. If Heidi loses then she was always going to lose and not because of a SCOTUS vote that only highly partisan and already motivated voters care about

Wrong


People care because of all the media attention of it

What does this even mean. The vast majority of voters are indifferent to this whole fiasco. They are as indifferent to this as they were about the Iraq War being a lie, the budget deficits, the bailouts, Obama's Rev Wright scandal, Trump's pussy grabbing tape and his literally thousands of other scandals.

The American electorate is not some intensely interested group of people regardless if the media talks about it. Most just shrug while people on this site keep insisting it matters

Most voters supported it in 2004 according to CNN exit polls


and the Bailouts lmao at the fact people didn't get mad, they are one major reason why we got Tea Party and Occupy Movements . Comparing personal scandals to Supreme Court is also lol

Correlation does not equal causation. Behind every seeming election victory was a favorable enviorment that dictated the election victory and not a bunch of issues nobody was paying attention to except political nerds. But people prefer bogus narratives to the boring reality

[junior chįmp]

The natural environment came from the issues of the day not magic

No it doesnt. Not BS issues like the SCOTUS.

Heitkamp hasnt led a poll since what February and now Atlas is claiming shes finished because of Kavanaugh. Hmmm....maybe just maybe...she was always going to lose and it had nothing to with Kavanaugh.

[junior chįmp]

The natural environment came from the issues of the day not magic

No it doesnt. Not BS issues like the SCOTUS.

Heitkamp hasnt led a poll since what February and now Atlas is claiming shes finished because of Kavanaugh. Hmmm....maybe just maybe...she was always going to lose and it had nothing to with Kavanaugh.

Yah she was gonna lose by 3-4 now its gonna by 8-10

Thats a pretty big difference

Lol...keep moving the goalposts. It makes ZERO difference in the end

[junior chįmp]

CNN: Heitkamp is in Trouble

https://edition.cnn.com/2018/10/06/politics/poll-of-the-week-heidi-heitkamp-is-in-trouble/index.html

Conclusion: She is probably down high single to low double digits.

The very same moron pundits & MSM that were writing weekly obituaries for Trump in 2016 are back at it again

[junior chįmp]

https://twitter.com/actoraaronbooth/status/1051960937085919232?s=21

[junior chįmp]

Atlas logic: Cramer saying stupid sexist things on a daily basis wont matter but Heitkamp apologizing for a wrongly produced  ad will doom her.

[junior chįmp]

Bodyslam a journalist