Alabama Megathread 2: Thou Shall Not Touch Teenage Girls

[Brittain33]

I can confidently predict that Doug Jones will lose if the electorate is 75% white on December 12th.

I will also predict he will lose if 3% of voters are age 18-34 and 52% are 65 or older.

[Landslide Lyndon]

The new conventional wisdom that Moore recovered because Democrats didn't push Al Franken out of senate (propagated even by ostensibly serious people like Matt Yglesias) is the stupidest thing I heard last month.
It reminds me of the Morning Joe panel being certain that Northam would lose because Donna Brazile's book would depress Democratic turnout.

[IceSpear]

Moore is definitely going to get a bounce in the polls from Trump.

Called it.

[publicunofficial]

Moore by 6. Calling it. I have faith in the people of Alabama to do what is in their nature.

[Esteemed Jimmy]

Moore by 6. Calling it. I have faith in the people of Alabama to do what is in their nature.

[junior chįmp]

Moore by 6. Calling it.

6 teens?

[IceSpear]

The new conventional wisdom that Moore recovered because Democrats didn't push Al Franken out of senate (propagated even by ostensibly serious people like Matt Yglesias) is the stupidest thing I heard last month.
It reminds me of the Morning Joe panel being certain that Northam would lose because Donna Brazile's book would depress Democratic turnout.

If anything, it was Trump that gave potential wavering Alabungans "permission" to vote for Moore. I doubt Franken and Conyers had any major impact. Of course, he still would've won even without Trump's re-endorsement, but it certainly helped seal the deal.

[Gass3268]

Moore by 6. Calling it.

6 teens?

You forgot the part were they yell Roll Tide after they're done.

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

Nevermind expelling a senator.  How do you expel a state?

The fact that Jones prosecuted, rather than aid, the KKK in their bombing was a liability for him in this state.

[IceSpear]

Nevermind expelling a senator.  How do you expel a state?

The fact that Jones prosecuted, rather than aid, the KKK in their bombing was a liability for him in this state.

Abraham Lincoln was wrong.

[Old Man Willow]

The denial is still strong with some, but seems like most are finally coming to terms with this race. People deluded themselves because of Vitter/Edwards, but Alabama cannot really be compared with Louisiana. A Democrat was never going to win there.

[Greedo punched first]

The denial is still strong with some, but seems like most are finally coming to terms with this race. People deluded themselves because of Vitter/Edwards, but Alabama cannot really be compared with Louisiana. A Democrat was never going to win there.

I always knew Moore was going to win. Texas, Louisiana, and South Carolina are far more winnable for Democrats than Alabama.

[kyc0705]

The outcome of this race has always pointed in Moore's direction. That being said, I don't think today is December 12. And the tone of this thread is perpetually toxic "on many sides." The Oscar predictions forum I post on is less catty than this, and awards prognosticators are already roundly insane.

[Landslide Lyndon]

The outcome of this race has always pointed in Moore's direction. That being said, I don't think today is December 12. And the tone of this thread is perpetually toxic "on many sides." The Oscar predictions forum I post on is less catty than this, and awards prognosticators are already roundly insane.

Are you a member of OscarGuy's forum?

[Mr. Smith]

The denial is still strong with some, but seems like most are finally coming to terms with this race. People deluded themselves because of Vitter/Edwards, but Alabama cannot really be compared with Louisiana. A Democrat was never going to win there.

To be fair with Vitter/Edwards, there was doubt for Edwards (including from yours truly) too...didn't help that Matt Bevin won just weeks before in Kentucky, which was technically more Democratic at the time.

Though it is true that Moore's campaign is eerily similar to Trump AND Matt Bevin.

[IceSpear]

The denial is still strong with some, but seems like most are finally coming to terms with this race. People deluded themselves because of Vitter/Edwards, but Alabama cannot really be compared with Louisiana. A Democrat was never going to win there.

To be fair with Vitter/Edwards, there was doubt for Edwards (including from yours truly) too...didn't help that Matt Bevin won just weeks before in Kentucky, which was technically more Democratic at the time.

Though it is true that Moore's campaign is eerily similar to Trump AND Matt Bevin.

FWIW, I thought Vitter would win, but that it was a toss up. I've never seen this race as anything other than safe R even for a second.

[kyc0705]

The outcome of this race has always pointed in Moore's direction. That being said, I don't think today is December 12. And the tone of this thread is perpetually toxic "on many sides." The Oscar predictions forum I post on is less catty than this, and awards prognosticators are already roundly insane.

Are you a member of OscarGuy's forum?

No, I was referring to Gold Derby's forums. That place is almost completely un-modded, has basically no rules, and somehow feels more endurable than this board. And you should see the throwdowns on there about whether The Post or Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri is the Best Picture frontrunner

[Arkansas Yankee]

You know what y’all can do with your moral judgements of Moore voters. I just want to scream whatabouts.  I don’t have to lay them out.  Before you go into your neighbors house to insist he clean up his mess, clean up your own first.  You just cannot grasp that concept.

I expect the Senate will investigate whether Moore was lying to the voters of Alabama.  The yearbook will be the center of attention.  The question will then be whether Gloria tried to pull a fast one for publicity. If the yearbook notation is fradulant, Moore is safe.  If it is legit, he is toast.  If it is 1/2 & 1/2, it is anyone’s guess.

Thank Gloria for the current situation.

[The Other Castro]

You guys still have two weeks of this, pace yourselves at least.

[Dr. Arch]

You guys still have two weeks of this, pace yourselves at least.

I still remember the sh**tstorm that happened here with the Gillespie polls. Good lord.

[Kamala]

You know what y’all can do with your moral judgements of Moore voters. I just want to scream whatabouts.  I don’t have to lay them out.  Before you go into your neighbors house to insist he clean up his mess, clean up your own first.  You just cannot grasp that concept.

I expect the Senate will investigate whether Moore was lying to the voters of Alabama.  The yearbook will be the center of attention.  The question will then be whether Gloria tried to pull a fast one for publicity. If the yearbook notation is fradulant, Moore is safe.  If it is legit, he is toast.  If it is 1/2 & 1/2, it is anyone’s guess.

Thank Gloria for the current situation.

What does this even mean? This is a mess of a post, once again.

"Cleaning up our own mess" – what? If you're referring to Franken, nearly every D-avatar on this forum has called for his resignation, and a decent amount of Democrats did too. As for Conyers, I also believe he should resign.

Just because there are sexual harassers in the Democratic Party does not give the Republican Party or Alabama voters carte blanche to elect a pedophile.

When you yell "both sides" you don't actually make anything better. You end up justifying the status quo. Guess who loses? The women (and men) who are abused and exploited by these people in power who keep getting reelected.

Stop trying to blame a lawyer for your own hackish beliefs. You should be ashamed of yourself.

[Devout Centrist]

You guys still have two weeks of this, pace yourselves at least.

[Esteemed Jimmy]

You guys still have two weeks of this, pace yourselves at least.

[RFK Jr.’s Brain Worm]

You guys still have two weeks of this, pace yourselves at least.

[Arkansas Yankee]

PC action like this

https://pjmedia.com/faith/archdiocese-washington-sues-transit-authority-rejection-christmas-ad/

cause white Christians to feel under attack and that they are a minority.  They then vote like a minority.  Huge majorities of the minority vote for the same party.  Which now means they vote for the GOP.

That is what is happening in Alabama. As blacks vote Democrat, white Christians are voting GOP