hcallega
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,523
Political Matrix E: -1.10, S: -3.90
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« on: July 29, 2009, 08:56:01 PM » |
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I think we can pretty safely predict a group of candidates who could plausibly win the 2012 GOP nomination:
Sarah Palin Mike Huckabee Mit Romney Newt Gingrich John Thune Bobby Jindal Charlie Crist Haley Barbour
Now odds are that they will loose, if only because the GOP is in such dire straits and I think Obama's worst case scenario is something like Bush in 2004. So then the key is who gives the keynote address or who REALLY makes a scene, like if Rubio was to beat Crist for the GOP nomination in FLA. My bet would be Thune for the GOP in 2016, and lets say he faces Biden, well then he probably wins. If he faces Hillary, then its a tossup, and if he faces a popular moderate (Warner, Schweitzer, Kaine) then he prolly looses. Anyway, just for fun here is my guess
Barack Obama-D 2009-2017 John Thune-R 2017-2021 Western or Hispanic Democrat-D 2021?
I personally see Hispanics becoming the next Irish Catholics in the Dem Party, as in running the party machinery within the next 20 years.
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