NJ Elections : Poll - Dems have edge going into election --- More on Elections

[MAS117]

I think Dems have a great chance to pick up seats in D1, 2, and 8. I think Baroni will win in 14 and that Karcher's seat is too close to call.

[MAS117]

PoliticsNJ is reporting that Dick Codey is pulling out of the 39th Senate race, essentially ceding the district to the incumbent Republicans.

As he should Cardinale will be reelected.

[MAS117]

I'm very hesitant to share news from the subscription-only Politifax, but the stuff in here is already floating around New Jersey's political circles, so...

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And, what else is going on?

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And one more.

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There's a lot more good stuff in there............but if you want to know what, fork over some cash and subscribe.

This is what sucks about not being home in NJ! I don't get to read the very over charged Politifax!

[MAS117]

I'm very hesitant to share news from the subscription-only Politifax, but the stuff in here is already floating around New Jersey's political circles, so...

You must be logged in to read this quote.

And, what else is going on?

You must be logged in to read this quote.

And one more.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

There's a lot more good stuff in there............but if you want to know what, fork over some cash and subscribe.

This is what sucks about not being home in NJ! I don't get to read the very over charged Politifax!

Well, I guess the reason why Nick has to overcharge is because bastards like me spread around the news for free.  Seriously though, if you've got a job in the political field, its well worth its price.

True, I used to get it at work.

[MAS117]

There can also be as much as 800K to 1M dollars thrown into D1 and D2 races in this last week.

[MAS117]

There can also be as much as 800K to 1M dollars thrown into D1 and D2 races in this last week.

From Dick Codey alone.

Correct, from Dick Codey but through the Senate Majority PAC.

[MAS117]

OK CRUNCH TIME. Less then 12 hours away from the opening of the polls. Predictions for NJ Legislative races.

I'm going to say Whelan wins, Van Drew wins, Panter and O'Scanlon wins, Baroni wins, Beck wins (razor thin), and I'm just not sure about whether Fran wins in 8 or Haines. Too close to call I guess, but I would say slight lean Haines. Since I'm not back in Jersey I don't have my normal sources to go to for more in depth insight.

[MAS117]

Mr. Moderate, will the NJN Election Coverage be available to watch online as well? I hate not being home on Election Day!

[MAS117]

New Jersey Election Results live: http://www.njn.net/television/webcast/livestreaming.html

Coverage has already started; polls close at 8 PM.

Hmm, I can't seem to get it to work. I will try again at 8 once the polls close.

[MAS117]

My calls.

SENATE (pickups in bold)
01 - Van Drew by 4.1%.
02 - Whelan by 10.2%.
07 - Allen by 22.3%.
08 - Haines by 5.1%.
11 - S. Kean by 17.3%.
12 - Beck by 0.8%.
14 - Baroni by 19.5%.
39 - Cardinale by 13.8%.

NET: 1 Dem pickup (01, 02, 12).

ASSEMBLY (pickups in bold)
01 - Albano (1), Donahue (2), Clark (3), Milam (4)
02 - Polistina (1), Amodeo (2), Wilkins (3), Spellman (4)
08 - Rudder (1), Addiego (2), Riley (3), Fifis (4)
11 - Rible (1), Angelini (2), Napolitani (3), Pirnat (4)
12 - Panter (1), O'Scanlon (2), Casagrande (3), Mallet (4)
14 - Greenstein (1), Goodwin (2), Bushman (3), D'Angelo (4)
36 - Scalera (1), Schaer (2), Pio Costa (3), Diorio (4)
39 - Vandervalk (1), Rooney (2), Manna (3), Fletcher (4)

NET: 3 GOP pickups (01, 02, 08).

I anticipate Assembly 8 and 39 to be much closer than I had previously thought.

Those are fairly good predictions. I agree with you on pretty much everything on the Senate side. As per the Assembly, I can't really made an informed judgment about it, because I am a Senate guy by heart. My knowledge is more there, although it doesn't look too improbable.

[MAS117]

I'd also like to mention that there is a massive stem cell funding proposition being voted on today by NJ Citizens. I voted absentee ballot, and voted YES for all four of the ballot questions.

[MAS117]

Sonny McCullough is conceding to George Norcross very graciously.

Senator Jim Whelan, sounds nice.

[MAS117]

The Press of AC hasnt updated their numbers since 915 so the Assembly side seems up in the air, although someone is giving a victor speech at the Sonny HQ.

[MAS117]

Just another update:

 State Senate 14th District
65/84 77.38%
Under Votes    742    
Over Votes    0    
          
     Vote Count    Percent
Rep - Bill Baroni    18,737    73.26%
Dem - Seema Singh    6,819    26.66%
Personal Choice    20    0.08%
Total    25,576    100.00%

As expected!

[MAS117]

 State Senate 12th District
138/146 94.52%
Under Votes    1634    
Over Votes    0    
          
     Vote Count    Percent
Rep - Jennifer BECK    21,806    54.77%
Dem - Ellen KARCHER    17,935    45.04%
Write-In    76    0.19%
Total    39,817    100.00%


 General Assembly 12th District
138/146 94.52%
Under Votes    6371    
Over Votes    0    
          
     Vote Count    Percent
Rep - Declan O'SCANLON, Jr.    20,059    26.21%
Rep - Caroline CASAGRANDE    19,933    26.05%
Dem - Mike PANTER    18,612    24.32%
Dem - Amy MALLET    17,866    23.34%
Write-In    61    0.08%
Total    76,531    100.00%

[MAS117]

Unless there is a surprise coming in District 39, it looks like the GOP has broken their 16 year losing streak in the State Assembly.

MM, are you looking at these results in D7? I know its early, and it won't hold, but its surprising.

 State Senate 7th District
10/26 38.46%
Under Votes    136    
Over Votes    0    
          
     Vote Count    Percent
REP - Diane Allen    1,441    50.21%
DEM - Richard Dennison, Jr.    1,424    49.62%
Write-In    5    0.17%
Total    2,870    100.00%

[MAS117]

Actually, a pretty decent night for Republicans down ballot.

They lost Marlboro (no surprise there: ethics, ethics, ethics), but picked up Brick, Hamilton Township, Rutherford (incumbent Bernadette McPherson lost by 70–30), and Toms River.

Democrats did great in Somerset (picked up a freeholder seat for the first time since 1973) and nearly won the Sheriff seat in Hunterdon (when a Republican wins by only 8% or so in Hunterdon, that's a HUGE win for the Democrat).

This backs up Stender's strength in Hunterdon back in 2006.  I think my old home county may be trending Democratic, and quick.

Yea there wasnt much compaigning for that stem cell measure. It was taken for granted. And whats with the results for not letting the .5% go to tax relief? Très bizarre election.

I do agree that the Stem Cell issue was taken for granted. I did not expect this to fail at all. I don't believe this failing means people don't want stem cell research, I just think they don't want to spend the money.

[MAS117]

Steve Sweeney elected Majority Leader!