Obama vs DeMint 2012 (user search)
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DemocratsVictory2008
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« on: July 01, 2009, 01:04:02 AM »

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With Sanford out of the running dont rule out a run by this right wing lunatic. The base will love him and his angry white male image may win him a GOP primary. Of course he is cooked in the general but can carry a bunch of southern states. I would say Obama gains Arizona, Montana and other libertarian western states while eeking out a small win in Georgia. Obama gets to 65% in New Hampshire and over 70% in VT and NY.
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DemocratsVictory2008
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« Reply #1 on: July 01, 2009, 01:17:46 AM »

My point was Obama would win 58--42% or around that. Of course Kansas wouldnt be anywhere near the national average
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DemocratsVictory2008
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« Reply #2 on: July 01, 2009, 01:21:39 AM »

I would hope that your joking or else you really are an ignorant conservative lol. A hurricane hitting Colorado..wtf!
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DemocratsVictory2008
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« Reply #3 on: July 03, 2009, 12:36:45 AM »

I think Arizona would have the biggest swing, going from a 9 point McCain win to a 9-14 point Obama win. The home state factor is about 5-7% according to most data and that would have given Obama about 51-52% in Arizona had mccain not been from there. That puts it well in line with the states surrounding it. AZ is the most conservative of CO, NM, NV, AZ but not by that much as seen in 2000,2004.  The demographics there suggest Democratic gains, just look at the congressional elections the past two cycles.
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DemocratsVictory2008
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« Reply #4 on: July 04, 2009, 12:46:48 AM »

I think DeMint would be loved by rural southern whites but suburban women out west would be scared just a bit lol.
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