2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[Arkansas Yankee]

Morning Consult joins Rasmussen in finding the generic to be D+3.  If they are correct the GOP RETAINS CONTROL OF THE HOUSE.

I think they are a little low.  I believe it will be D+5 or 6.  That should put the Democrats in the range of 220 to 225. I do not think with that small a majority they will be able to do much damage. 

 I think that is best for Trump, too.  If the GOP were to keep the House, Trump would get the wrong message for 2020.

[Arkansas Yankee]

Silver and Wasserman have both compared 2018 to 2012 and I think that is a good comparison.

Yep, the majority in the House will maintain it, while the challenger to the Senate will fall short...just like in 2012.

Do you mean the GOP wil keep both houses? That would be a disaster for the Democrats.

[Arkansas Yankee]

Well!    CNN AND RASMUSSEN  HAVE THROWN DOWN THE GAUNTLET!  They both obviously cannot be right.  At least one of them should be sent to the ash bin of polling history with the Literary Digest Poll of 1936 that predicted Landon would beat FDR. It may develop they should both go there.

I do believe the Literary Digest made a human error.   I believe current errors may be deliberate.