PPP: 15 more polls of competitive House districts (user search)
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  PPP: 15 more polls of competitive House districts (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP: 15 more polls of competitive House districts  (Read 7484 times)
UncleSam
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« on: November 14, 2017, 12:25:08 PM »
« edited: November 14, 2017, 12:51:14 PM by UncleSam »

Any race where a republican incumbent is polling within 5 of generic D with > 10% undecided I'd consider a tossup right now, frankly. Still good numbers for Democrats but that generic ballot question is a bit weak for Dems. Hard to see them winning the house with a lead of only 5 - though a final result of D +7-8 off of a D+5 baseline would hardly be inconsistent with 2017 results.
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UncleSam
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« Reply #1 on: November 14, 2017, 12:50:05 PM »
« Edited: November 14, 2017, 12:52:29 PM by UncleSam »

Any race where a republican incumbent is polling within 5 of generic D with > 10% undecided I'd consider a tossup right now, frankly. Still good numbers for Republicans but that generic ballot question is a bit weak for Dems. Hard to see them winning the house with a lead of only 5 - though a final result of D +7-8 off of a D+5 baseline would hardly be inconsistent with 2017 results.

Democrats are leading the generic ballot by 10 points. Try again.
Misread the generic ballot question in Nj-2 as a national generic ballot question. No need to be a dick about it lol

Note: also meant Democrats when I typed Republicans there rip, should've been pretty clear from context though
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UncleSam
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« Reply #2 on: November 14, 2017, 01:49:24 PM »

How did whites with a college degree vote in the HoD races, though? Obviously Democrats made gains but they made them primarily in a Clinton districts - was that a result of the white college vote swinging, or simply a continuation of 2016 top-ballot preferences trickling further down the ballot?
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