KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in
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  KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in
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Author Topic: KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in  (Read 59306 times)
Young Conservative
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« Reply #200 on: August 19, 2019, 02:25:58 AM »

Schumer’s top recruit at it again! Seriously, Schumer sucks at his job. Why are Dems cool with him?
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andjey
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« Reply #201 on: August 19, 2019, 03:10:27 AM »

Schumer’s top recruit at it again! Seriously, Schumer sucks at his job. Why are Dems cool with him?
Yeah, Dick Durbin would be better Senate Democrats leader than Schumer by far
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Pollster
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« Reply #202 on: August 19, 2019, 09:03:30 AM »

With McGrath's terrible gaffes and McConnell's terrible optics, Kentucky looks like it's heading for a dumpster fire election. It would be a good thing for the state and country if both lost their primaries imo.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #203 on: August 19, 2019, 11:46:35 AM »

Jesus Christ McGrath sucks.

Easily one of the most overrated candidates in the 2018 cycle too
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Anti Democrat Democrat Club
SawxDem
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« Reply #204 on: August 19, 2019, 11:54:55 AM »

Get this pile of trash out of here.
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #205 on: August 19, 2019, 11:57:27 AM »

So much sexism in this thread. Typical atlas.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #206 on: August 19, 2019, 12:28:59 PM »

So much sexism in this thread. Typical atlas.

I can't be sexist, I have a biological birth mother.
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Gracile
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« Reply #207 on: August 19, 2019, 12:38:20 PM »

So much sexism in this thread. Typical atlas.

It isn't inherently sexist to point out a female candidate's flaws.
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TML
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« Reply #208 on: August 19, 2019, 01:03:15 PM »

So much sexism in this thread. Typical atlas.

Is lack of authenticity sexist? I don't think so.
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NeverAgainsSock
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« Reply #209 on: August 19, 2019, 03:49:12 PM »

Honestly, I don't know if it's reasonable to claim McGrath is a terrible candidate 14 months out. I will wait until Beshear v. Bevin finishes to start handicapping. To the vast majority of Kentuckians, I doubt anything McGrath says or McConnell does will impact the race this far out.

Her pluses:
- She got within 3 points in a district that has been moving away from Democrats since Ben Chandler almost lost it in 2010, and actually lost it in 2012 (and really before then, but still), and went 16 points for Trump.
- Extensive military service vs. "optic-neuritis, dismissed-from-service-Mitch" (it'll catch on)
- Turning out the media's new favorite people: "suburban white women" out of Lexington and Frankfort
Her minuses:
- Not a great media presence.
- She let(s) narratives too easily attach to her and makes dumb gaffes bigly. "socialist", "Trump = 9/11", "I would/wouldn't have voted for Kavanaugh (in the same day)"
- Frankly, she spent about 50% more than Andy Barr... only to lose. Yet, Barr (to my recollection) had ads blaring about her, 24/7. How does that happen when you are spending more than Marie Antoinette?

The best this can get is Likely R. With the best circumstances, she can get this within 10-12 points, but that's it. I think she's a good person, but she should have ran again for KY-6, which she at least has a chance of winning. But maybe it'll distract McConnell and keep him on his toes for a couple of months.
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Xing
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« Reply #210 on: August 19, 2019, 07:16:12 PM »

Even a perfect Democratic candidate would still lose to McConnell by double digits, but hopefully McGrath continues to implode, so that Democrats don't bother to flush money down the toilet in this race.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #211 on: August 19, 2019, 07:18:47 PM »

Schumer’s top recruit at it again! Seriously, Schumer sucks at his job. Why are Dems cool with him?

Catherine Cortez-Masto is head of DSCC.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #212 on: August 20, 2019, 11:38:49 AM »

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IceSpear
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« Reply #213 on: August 20, 2019, 03:09:00 PM »

Even a perfect Democratic candidate would still lose to McConnell by double digits, but hopefully McGrath continues to implode, so that Democrats don't bother to flush money down the toilet in this race.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #214 on: August 20, 2019, 11:30:58 PM »

Schumer’s top recruit at it again! Seriously, Schumer sucks at his job. Why are Dems cool with him?

Catherine Cortez-Masto is head of DSCC.
McGrath was lauded as a recruit of Schumer not CCM
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #215 on: August 20, 2019, 11:53:44 PM »



At this rate, McGrath might actually lose by more than Alison Lundergan Grimes did in 2014. McConnell will almost certainly carry Elliott County for the first time in his career. She'll be lucky to do as well as Jim Gray did in 2016.
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MRS DONNA SHALALA
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« Reply #216 on: August 21, 2019, 12:25:48 PM »

Matt Jones looks like he's getting ready to hop in. He's pinned this to the top of his twitter feed:

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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #217 on: August 21, 2019, 01:30:29 PM »



At this rate, McGrath might actually lose by more than Alison Lundergan Grimes did in 2014. McConnell will almost certainly carry Elliott County for the first time in his career. She'll be lucky to do as well as Jim Gray did in 2016.

Don’t tell Politician that.

And I agree. I’d be shocked if she hit 40%.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #218 on: August 21, 2019, 05:40:49 PM »



At this rate, McGrath might actually lose by more than Alison Lundergan Grimes did in 2014. McConnell will almost certainly carry Elliott County for the first time in his career. She'll be lucky to do as well as Jim Gray did in 2016.

Don’t tell Politician that.

And I agree. I’d be shocked if she hit 40%.

It shouldn't be a surprise if McConnell does carry Elliott County. Hal Rogers won it for the first time in his career, in a competitive race last year, and I am doubtful that even Andy Beshear can carry it against Matt Bevin this year. Elliott is only continuing to trend away from the Democrats.
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user12345
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« Reply #219 on: August 21, 2019, 06:16:08 PM »


Literally anyone on this forum could have bs'ed an answer or pivoted to a different topic better than she did.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #220 on: August 22, 2019, 02:41:36 PM »

McGrath is looking like a total joke at this point
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #221 on: August 22, 2019, 03:09:52 PM »

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IceSpear
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« Reply #222 on: August 22, 2019, 03:33:33 PM »



Probably the only candidate that could win Elliott County. Atlas will be thrilled by that despite McConnell's double digit win, lol.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #223 on: August 22, 2019, 03:52:09 PM »
« Edited: August 22, 2019, 04:04:21 PM by Calthrina950 »



If Adkins had won the nomination over Beshear earlier this year, he would probably be on track to defeat Bevin. Against McConnell, however, it's a different story. I think Adkins would do as well as Gray did in 2016, and he would definitely win Elliott County (where he has a base, and where he did exceptionally well against Beshear and Edelen). But McConnell would still win by around 12-15 points in the end, though.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #224 on: August 22, 2019, 03:59:41 PM »



If Atkins had won the nomination over Beshear earlier this year, he would probably be on track to defeat Bevin. Against McConnell, however, it's a different story. I think Atkins would do as well as Gray did in 2016, and he would definitely win Elliott County (where he has a base, and where he did exceptionally well against Beshear and Edelen). But McConnell would still win by around 12-15 points in the end, though.

I doubt he would win the primary against McGrath though, especially if Jones runs too.
Amy McGrath will have a small fortune to spend
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