Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET) (user search)
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  Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET)  (Read 58119 times)
The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« on: March 15, 2016, 02:28:36 PM »

The Trump tactics begin:

Donald J. Trump ‏@realDonaldTrump  17m17 minutes ago
A lot of complaints from people saying my name is not on the ballot in various places in Florida? Hope this is false.
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #1 on: March 15, 2016, 04:20:34 PM »

Good for Kasich?

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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #2 on: March 15, 2016, 04:38:37 PM »

Wow

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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #3 on: March 15, 2016, 05:12:35 PM »

Kasich up to 80 cents in OH on PredictIt.
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #4 on: March 15, 2016, 05:14:20 PM »

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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #5 on: March 15, 2016, 05:48:25 PM »

So will we be getting exit poll toplines for Florida at 7 or 8?
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #6 on: March 15, 2016, 05:58:20 PM »


His twin brother that works for CBS.
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #7 on: March 15, 2016, 06:01:54 PM »

At the first round of exits the favorites at the PredictIt market all increased their odds. So now Trump is even more favored to win FL, NC and IL. Kasich more favored in OH and Cruz is now 60/40 fave in MO.

I don't trust PredictIt and Betfair as much as some do because most of the people on sites like that are either very liberal Democrats or ironic Trump supporters who are at least somewhat influenced by their biases.

I do some work with the party registration of PredictIt users, and there's actually a lot more Republicans than you'd expect.
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #8 on: March 15, 2016, 06:07:19 PM »

First numbers from Decision Desk:

Donald Trump 47.2%  32976
Marco Rubio 24.1% 16806
Ted Cruz 16.9% 11,809
John Kasich 7.3% 5,096
All Others 4.5% 3108
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #9 on: March 15, 2016, 06:25:06 PM »

trump   306,064   
45.4%

rubio   184,034   
27.3%

cruz   105,063   
15.6%

kasich   43,528   
6.5%
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #10 on: March 15, 2016, 07:23:41 PM »

RUBIO GONE
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #11 on: March 15, 2016, 11:53:04 PM »

DDHQ calls MO for Trump.
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