Predict the Styria (= Steiermark) state election on Sunday
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  Predict the Styria (= Steiermark) state election on Sunday
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Author Topic: Predict the Styria (= Steiermark) state election on Sunday  (Read 682 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,190
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« on: November 21, 2019, 12:14:37 PM »

My guess:

34% ÖVP (+6)
24% SPÖ (-5)
17% FPÖ (-10)
14% Greens (+7)
  6% NEOS (+3)
  5% KPÖ (+1)

Turnout: 68%
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,190
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 23, 2019, 06:01:39 AM »

My updated prediction:

34.4% ÖVP (+6.0%)
25.0% SPÖ (-4.3%)
16.2% FPÖ (-10.6%)
13.5% Greens (+6.8%)
  6.0% NEOS (+3.4%) 
  4.9% KPÖ (+0.7%) 
  0.0% Others (-2.0%) 

Turnout: 65.2% (-2.7%)
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,190
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 25, 2019, 01:07:54 PM »

My updated prediction:

34.4% ÖVP (+6.0%)
25.0% SPÖ (-4.3%)
16.2% FPÖ (-10.6%)
13.5% Greens (+6.8%)
 6.0% NEOS (+3.4%)  
 4.9% KPÖ (+0.7%)  
 0.0% Others (-2.0%)  

Turnout: 65.2% (-2.7%)

Not one of my better predictions:

Underestimated the ÖVP by 1.6%, the FPÖ by 1.3% and the Communists by 1.1%.

Overestimated the SPÖ by 2%, the Greens by 1.4%, NEOS by 0.6% and turnout by 1.7%.

https://orf.at/wahl/steiermark19/ergebnisse
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,391
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

P P P
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« Reply #3 on: November 26, 2019, 07:09:56 AM »

My updated prediction:

34.4% ÖVP (+6.0%)
25.0% SPÖ (-4.3%)
16.2% FPÖ (-10.6%)
13.5% Greens (+6.8%)
 6.0% NEOS (+3.4%)  
 4.9% KPÖ (+0.7%)  
 0.0% Others (-2.0%)  

Turnout: 65.2% (-2.7%)

Not one of my better predictions:

Underestimated the ÖVP by 1.6%, the FPÖ by 1.3% and the Communists by 1.1%.

Overestimated the SPÖ by 2%, the Greens by 1.4%, NEOS by 0.6% and turnout by 1.7%.

https://orf.at/wahl/steiermark19/ergebnisse
Communists above NEOS, well really glad about that. They're slowly growing Smiley
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