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The NDP aren't even trying in St. Paul's? Ugh.

I should be clear, I don't actually know that they're "not trying" in St. Paul's, so I'm not suggesting that. But I think it's a very safe guess that the NDP aren't serious contenders in this byelection, and the NDP's byelection strategy this parliament seems to be to only contest seats they have a realistic shot of winning. So I feel very confident in saying the NDP probably aren't going to be serious contenders here.

If they decide to really fight it though (maybe try to piggyback off of Jill Andrew's provincial incumbency), that would make things interesting, and probably help the CPC by not allowing the Liberals to be the ABC vote bank.

It's not enough to just report posts here.  The mods need to take a stand on this kind of bigotry when multiple posters engage in it, one after the other.

People are allowed to have opinions about missionaries that you don't agree with. They are not a religion, race or gender, they are more of a profession. It isn't bigotry to talk s__t about lawyers or salespeople or stock brokers, therefore it isn't bigotry to talk s__t about missionaries.

If you decide that you want to be a snowflake about it, that isn't the mods' problem or anybody else's problem.

The deleted posts here specifically referred to Christian ministries.  Being a Missionary is not a "profession"; it is a specific religious calling.  It is individual Christians obeying Christ's command to go into all the World and preach His Gospel. 

Similar comments made about Muslim Imams would be subjected to the same scrutiny as well.

Is it a bigoted post to suggest to Evangelical Christians that their work is ridiculous?  That it does more harm than good?  That it fosters "cultural genocide"?  These statements are bigoted not only toward the missionaries; they are bigoted toward the Christians who support them.

I refuse to let people have it both ways.  When people say things about Evangelical Christians that others would be infracted for if they said the same thing about other religious groups, I'm going to hold these people to the same standards on "Bigotry/Hatefulness" that I have to adhere to.  And I'm not going to let the likes of people like Joe Republic (one of the offenders here) who lecture others on bigotry to make bigoted posts and still enjoy Virtue Signaling Privileges.

The snowflakes are those who perpetuate anti-Christian bigotry on this site, then get whiny when they receive deserved pushback.

224D-211R



Nothing really that bold on here, but I would say I have most of the rated as "tossup" by pundits going D - still threw Rs some races that I thought could go either way though (CA-13, CA-22, VA-02).

I generally think people are underestimating Dems in the House in a similar way to which Rs were underestimated in 2020. In 2020, you had a ton of Dem wave babies in these Trump +5 to Trump +15 seats that most people thought were in tossup races (SC-01, OK-05, NM-02, NY-22) but in the end nearly all ended up losing and the exceptions were districts where Biden saw large gains at the top of the ticket (i.e. VA-07 which was Trump-->Biden).

CA-13, CA-22, CA-27, CA-45, CA47, NE-02, NM-02, NY-04, NY-17, NY-19, and OR-05 are all districts that voted for Biden by at least 5 but are rated as tossup or better for Republicans, despite most of these Rs winning in squeakers in 2022 or some cases seats Dem won in 2022 (CA-47, NM-02).

Like seriously what's the justification for left-shifting Biden+11 CA-47 being a tossup - is Dave Min really that bad? Is Scott Baugh some sort of electoral juggernaut?

Is it very weird that this confessed to a literal murder just because police told him too. On top of compensation, he may need to spend some time in a mental hospital to address whatever caused him to act this way.

Utterly reprehensible.

It’s not common in the US except in certain, very crime ridden areas and even then not common. Shows where BRTD spends his time though.

Minneapolis and Chicago? Truly terrible cities and places to be indeed.

If he's acquitted I think what he should say is that the issue is over now, let's talk about the issues. But that should be a brief statement in a campaign speech or video, not in an address from the White House.

What exactly should Biden even say in the case of an acquittal or hung jury? That part confuses me unless he tries to pull a Harris post-Rittenhouse trial and attack the justice system.

Tory vs Labour frontbench in rugby, who wins?

Private school advantage might come into play here:


Angela Rayner's definitely going to break some Etonian ribs before the end of the match though.

As the frontbench gives a broader pool to choose from than merely the Cabinet/Shadow Cabinet, Labour do have Toby Perkins, which negates a lot of the deficit alone...

The Conservatives are promising a ‘quadruple lock’ on pensions, whereby the tax free threshold will always be above the maximum state pension* for pensioners.

I was only going to vote, but will now be canvassing against the government thanks to this.

No humiliation could be harsh enough for this gang of thieves.

Barrett. This will likely be a Trump district, but I don’t think Hertel has the crossover appeal Slotkin had to outrun Biden enough to win. Also, the Democratic base in this district is Lansing, and I still don’t trust that Gen Z college turnout will be high enough at Michigan State to help get him over the finish line. And Livingston County is the exact type of place where people will vote for Biden but vote for downballot R’s.

I feel like it's a bit unfair to say this district "likely" votes for Trump.

Firstly, even in college towns actually students tend to make up a very small minority of the electorate. Additionally in 2020, most college campuses saw a drop-off in student turnout due to COVID including Lansing, but that drop-off was easily overpowered by other shifts - in 2024 turnout will almost certainly be up on college campuses (including Michigan State) just because students are back.

While it is true the Livingston portion tends to be more favorable to Republicans downballot, there's a good chance it shifts left anyways and Hertel "underperforms" by just getting Biden 2020 numbers in the County. Specifically, the southeast corner of the County has been seeing very solid growth since 2020 which probably helps Biden - it's also become a lot more college ed since 2010.