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This is a good video of why 2004 hopes are little far fetched. These are the reasons he gives:

1. There is no reasonable study that has shown that lower turnout hurts the BJP. Some studies have shown that sometimes lower turnout could benefit the BJP as well

2. NDA is far stronger in UP/Bihar than it was in 2004. In 2004 the NDA only won 22 seats in both states while in 2019 that number was 101 and they got over a 50% vote share as well

3. Ram Mandir helps among Northern voters where the BJP has a lot of seats

4. There is no equivalent to Sonia Gandhi in 2004 for the opposition and the lack of one major leader gives the BJP the advantage on the issue of "strong stable leadership"

5. The BJP has far more momentum in the south today than it did back in 2004 and far more seats are winnable for them there then there was back then.

[A Trump-Biden Tie Would Be a Political Nightmare — But Maybe a Boon to Democracy]

...with Donald Trump in the role of John Quincy Adams:

A Trump-Biden Tie Would Be a Political Nightmare — But Maybe a Boon to Democracy
The political upheaval of 1824 changed America. The same could happen in 2024.

My state voted for Fremont, although all three major candidates (Buchanan, Fillmore, and Fremont) won some counties in the state.

Biden has the WH with 275, Trump isn't leading by 12 in NV and 7 in AZ

James Buchanan by a three:two ratio over ex-President Millard Fillmore of the Know-Nothing Party.  It doesn't seem that John C. Fremont (much like Abraham Lincoln in 1860) was even on the ballot in Virginia.  

Lincoln was actually on the ballot in Virginia in 1860

And apparently so was John C. Fremont in 1856.  They were such non-factors that I completely overlooked the fact that (legally speaking) Virginia and other slave states couldn't just eliminate those candidates from their ballots, though electoral results make it seem that they did.  

Do doctors who use at least local anesthesia for newborn circumcision tend to lean more Democratic or Republican than ones who don’t use any anesthesia? I haven’t seen any statistics on this, but I bet doctors who use anesthesia for newborn circumcision almost certainly lean more Democratic than doctors who don’t.

Woohoo another poll showing junior pulls more from Trump!

https://www.nikkan-gendai.com/articles/view/news/340281

LDP could choke a 4th consecutive by-election: this time for the Shizuoka governorship.

It's not a 303 map anymore??

Just shows that people have zero understanding of macroeconomics.

If Trumps wins, liberals saying sh**t like this will be a big part of the reason why.

^^^. But keep insulting the intelligence of non-Biden voters, BlueSwan. Surely none of us are Economics or Finance professionals or grad students. We’re all just dumb, stupid hillbillies; just like 2016.

This would be relevant if I suggested that the democrats messaging should focus on telling voters that they are stupid if they don't understand macro economics.

I doubt a lot of low propensity voters are browsing Atlas forums.