Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll

[Seriously?]

How do you change methodologies in the poll like 9 times in a summer?

You're Reuters or they delegated the writeup to an intern at the start of a holiday weekend. Your pick.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

What's causing Trump to surge? lol

[Matty]

What's causing Trump to surge? lol

Hillary being a crooked beeotch

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

What's causing Trump to surge? lol

Hillary being a crooked beeotch

Cut it out with the sexist language, you pig.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

What's causing Trump to surge? lol

Hillary being a crooked beeotch

[Seriously?]

Current
2-way (% change from 9/1) Clinton +2%
Clinton            40% (+1%)
Trump             38% (-2%)

1,760 LV (September 1 - September 5, 2016)

4-way (% change from 8/29) TIED
Clinton                       40% (+1%)
Trump                        38% (-1%)
Johnson                      8% (+1%)
Stein                          3% (+1%)

1,760 LV (September 1 - September 5, 2016)

Back to a 5-day rolling average. Polling explorer remains borked. Sourcing is from Ipsos.

Source: http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=7361

[Seriously?]

Current
2-way Clinton +1.2%
Clinton            40.2%
Trump             39.0%
Other                9.4%
Refused             8.5%
Would Not Vote  2.9%

1,125 LV (September 8 - September 12, 2016)

4-way Clinton +0.5
Clinton                       39.3%
Trump                        38.8%
Johnson                      7.8%
Stein                          2.2%
Don't Know/Refused    7.6%
Other                          2.4%
Won't Vote                  2.0%

1,125 LV (September 8 - September 12, 2016)

Polling Explorer defaults to a weekly view. Had to change it to daily to get these results.

[KingSweden]

Are they still changing methodologies?

[Seriously?]

Are they still changing methodologies?

I don't know, but they need to change their website. It doesn't auto update in the default state, making it useless to most.

[Seriously?]

Current
2-way (Change from 9/12) Clinton +4.3%
Clinton            42.8% (+2.6%)
Trump             38.5%  (-0.5%)
Other                8.4%  (-1.0%)
Refused             6.9%  (-1.6%) 
Would Not Vote  3.3%  (+0.4%)

1,155 LV (September 11 - September 15, 2016)

4-way (change from 9/12) Clinton +2.9
Clinton                       41.5% (+2.3%)
Trump                        38.6% (-0.2%)
Johnson                      6.5%   (-1.3%)
Stein                          2.3%   (+0.1%)
Don't Know/Refused    6.1%   (-1.5%)   
Other                          2.9%   (+0.5%)
Won't Vote                  2.1%   (+0.1%)

1,155 LV (September 11 - September 15, 2016)

Note to those using Polling Explorer, you have to hit "change" and specify to sort by "days" to get the latest results. Their program is junkier than junk of late and is just showing a weekly result with some lag.

It seems like the methodology is still a five-day rolling average. The intern (my guess) that wrote the story around Labor Day Weekend somehow used a 7-day range. I don't know how or why.

[Lief 🗽]

Wow, stupendous result! Clinton is surging!

[Fusionmunster]

Do I smell a recovery? Probably not...

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

BUT BUT BUT!!!! MUH EMERSON POLLS!!!!

[GeorgiaModerate]

Do I smell a recovery? Probably not...

Possibly.  Harry Enten tweeted Gallup favorability numbers that show her image improving over the past couple of days: https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/776831316981669888

If this is a real trend, it should start showing up in next week's polls.

[windjammer]

Dear there are so many pollsters that are trash, including Reuters.

[Person Man]

I hope sheis reasonably ahead by the debates lest Clinton's fall become a video clip that defines the next 10 or 20 years.

[‼realJohnEwards‼]

Reuters is still junk. Unless we get a steady trend in her direction, I can't see this as having any relevance.

[NOVA Green]

Do I smell a recovery? Probably not...

Possibly.  Harry Enten tweeted Gallup favorability numbers that show her image improving over the past couple of days: https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/776831316981669888

If this is a real trend, it should start showing up in next week's polls.

There might actually be some increased support and sympathy now the actual facts regarding her health issue (Allergy triggered Phenomena) are know well known.

Time will tell...

[Person Man]

Do I smell a recovery? Probably not...

Possibly.  Harry Enten tweeted Gallup favorability numbers that show her image improving over the past couple of days: https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/776831316981669888

If this is a real trend, it should start showing up in next week's polls.

There might actually be some increased support and sympathy now the actual facts regarding her health issue (Allergy triggered Phenomena) are know well known.

Time will tell...

I thought it was a sinus infection that wouldn't go away. I get what she got a lot.

[NOVA Green]

So anyone know when Ipsos/Reuters are going to release their next batch of "50 State" (Or more like 42 state polls)?

I know it's a rolling weekly/biweekly/triweekly depending upon the sample size for the state, but usually they update weekly, and I'm ready to update my tracking spreadsheet for this poll...

[Person Man]

If she can get over 43, maybe she will win?

[Classic Conservative]

This is Reuters people

[Erich Maria Remarque]

IDK, they are OK, I think. But they should not change methodology during the cycle and should have 7-9 days average instead for 5 — they are very noisy right now.

LA Times has 7-days and about ~2500 sample size (350 per day), while IPSOS has 5-days and ~1100 sample size ( = just ~220 per day). If one kind of average them, they look OK.

[Associate Justice PiT]

If she can get over 43, maybe she will win?

     If Gary Johnson doesn't fade, 43% could conceivably be enough to win, which is pretty crazy.

[ApatheticAustrian]

if every little bump gets its own poll "result" then trump's and his family's victory lap (americans are too silly to see his tax records/gas chamber-gate/birtherism 2.0/ hillary would be shot anytime without bodyguards) should change something...at least for one week.