Bush +4 Nationally (Marist) Kerry +19 in NY (Siena Research) Kerry +1 in Oregon

[Lunar]

That poll still has Nader going at 5.  They really should fix their models to ones that have him going at 1-2%.

[Lunar]

The number you were looking at was this:


With third-party contender Ralph Nader in the mix, the national view was Bush, 47 percent; Kerry, 43 percent; Nader 5 percent; and undecided, 5 percent. In the battleground states, it was Bush, 45 percent; Kerry, 45 percent; Nader, 5 percent; and undecided, 5 percent. [/b]

However, any number for "Battleground" states lumped together is irrelevant.

[Lunar]

Who cares about the % winning in battleground states?  It's like combining Indiana and Illinois to get a feeling of how the Midwest is going to vote.  If you include Delaware or Maine in the "Battleground States" then it's going to skew it, just like including Arizona and Arkansas will.