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May 17, 2024, 07:21:42 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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 1 
 on: Today at 07:20:55 AM 
Started by Heebie Jeebie - Last post by Spectator
Hogan's chances are effectively zero. He's already 10 points behind and this should still be his honeymoon phase. There's a good chance he loses Frederick and Anne Arundel counties with how fast they've been flying to the left.

 2 
 on: Today at 07:19:55 AM 
Started by Landslide Lyndon - Last post by Ferguson97
He belongs in prison.

 3 
 on: Today at 06:52:52 AM 
Started by TheReckoning - Last post by Red Velvet
Some Latin American big cities have lower murders/100K inhabitants ratio than some American big cities



That graphic is correct, but I would stress some things:

A) São Paulo state is the safest state in Brazil in per capita data. São Paulo and Santa Catarina states both have less than 10 homicide rate (well below the Brazilian average of 23), but states in the North and Northeast can consistently have averages higher than 30!

Rio de Janeiro state, a touristic postcard, has an average rate of 28, which I consider pretty high for Southeast and South Brazil. Sure, the poorer suburban metropolitan area surrounding Rio in its outskirts pushes the state average up a lot, but the Rio de Janeiro city itself (which is what people tend to visit) is still usually around 19-20.

So if you put Rio instead of São Paulo in that graph, it would only be safer than Philadelphia; Las Vegas and Minneapolis. And if you included the ENTIRE metropolitan area of Rio with all its adjacent municipalities that are more dangerous, it would still only be safer than Philadelphia.

And like I said, there are definitely many cities with a higher rate than Rio in the Northern part of the country, Rio only stands out as somewhat more dangerous when analyzing Southern Brazil of which is a part of.

B) USA isn’t like Europe (I have experience of visiting both places) and it IS a quite violent country despite having more money, so some major cities in LatAm being on par with or safer than many US big urban center’s doesn’t really say anything tbh.

And even that data in this graph is more focused on big cities, US interior areas outside of big cities ARE known to be significantly safer than their big city counterparts, reducing the overall homicide rate average. Gap between city and interior is significantly more reduced in LatAm, some interior small towns won’t necessarily be safer than the big city.

So it’s somewhat like taking some of the worst of a country (USA) and comparing it with what are far from the worst in LatAm, which makes the graphic a bit misleading but still useful in providing some level of perspective that US is on some levels at least on par with the violence that exists in LatAm

C) The most dangerous cities in the world are in the Americas (both USA and Latin America), so comparing both is kinda useless anyway unless you want to show snobby Americans that their country isn’t thaaaat much safer as they tend to believe.

That some major cities in LatAm are safer than some major cities in USA doesn’t really prove how safe Latin America is because the USA isn’t considered a safe country to begin with. Both USA and Latin America are at minimum places where you don’t have the same freedom of movement like you have in Europe for example.

One thing I don’t understand though is why St. Louis in USA wasn’t included in the graphic, as that’s the most dangerous US city and the only one from USA in the top 20 highest homicide rates with an absurd high average of 80 murders per capita, occupying 10th place and being higher than Brazilian most dangerous major city (Natal in 12th). This video is more useful because it shows many Latin American cities instead of only one and as I said São Paulo is one of the safest cities in Brazil, probably the same for Mexico City in Mexico, etc:



Still, the video doesn’t show ALL cities, only ones with significant amount of population, therefore being a comparison of big cities only. If you compared smaller towns with low population instead there sure would be much more sketchier places in LatAm as the US interior areas outside big cities tend to be relatively safe.

 4 
 on: Today at 06:48:15 AM 
Started by Heebie Jeebie - Last post by SnowLabrador
Hogan will say whatever it takes to get elected. That doesn't mean he will be elected. But he very much has a chance here. He's not Bullock or Bredesen.

 5 
 on: Today at 06:47:39 AM 
Started by iceman - Last post by mjba257
Arizona and Nevada. Small-to-medium sized states with only a few population centers, so no excuse for why they take so damn long to count.

 6 
 on: Today at 06:34:37 AM 
Started by Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin - Last post by politicallefty
I have a hard time seeing a law that would comport with the First Amendment.

 7 
 on: Today at 06:32:09 AM 
Started by Arizona Iced Tea - Last post by politicallefty
Am amazed that a thread about GASP the end of free soda refills is three pages. Says a lot about America.

Valid point, but you're missing the main point here: corporate greed and greedflation.

 8 
 on: Today at 06:18:13 AM 
Started by Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin - Last post by SWE
You absolutely hate to hand it to him but McConnell is obviously right. We already have legal mechanisms to combat false campaign speech, we don't need a new and expansive First Amendment exception that'll be enforced by prosecutors and judges with the technological literacy of turnips

 9 
 on: Today at 06:11:54 AM 
Started by DrScholl - Last post by SWE
Yeah that's the reason MTG is bad, her body. Nothing else.

Embarrassing stuff. This isn't about decorum, there are virtually limitless things you can say about MTG that are way meaner than this and are actually legitimate criticisms. It's beyond me how she wasn't able to think of any

 10 
 on: Today at 06:07:46 AM 
Started by Landslide Lyndon - Last post by SWE
You can't understand the modern Supreme Court without understanding that Alito is a very generic dumb guy. He's no smarter than the average person who gets all of their knowledge from Fox News. The average American is more qualified for his position than he is

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