2018 Gubernatorial Rankings (user search)
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Author Topic: 2018 Gubernatorial Rankings  (Read 45124 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« on: November 20, 2016, 04:38:23 PM »
« edited: November 20, 2016, 04:44:55 PM by Da-Jon »


Updated Governor rankings

Tilt D
CA, CT, CO, NV, NH, ME, NJ, VA, AK



Tossup
WI, IL


Tilt R
VT, MA, MD, FL, Iowa, OH
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #1 on: November 22, 2016, 11:41:44 PM »
« Edited: November 22, 2016, 11:44:08 PM by Da-Jon »
Sorry, don't see FL turning blue again anytime soon, but Bill Nelson and Sherrod Brown will win reelection.

I see WI, IL, NV, MI,  NH, ME, NM,  NJ flipping for 7 Gov gain
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #2 on: November 27, 2016, 04:31:40 PM »
I'm not saying they shouldn't try in Florida, they should focus on the Midwest.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #3 on: March 02, 2018, 09:40:25 PM »
« Edited: March 02, 2018, 10:00:19 PM by Cory Booker »


states to watch AK, WI, NH, OH, MD, AZ, KS and Iowa

25-30 seats for Dems
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #4 on: March 14, 2018, 12:23:26 PM »


Dems should have at least 20 seats

Tilt Democratic IL, NM, ME, CO, PA, MI, CT, AK

Tossup States will get them to 25: MD, NV, OH, NH, WI, NEB, KS, AZ
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #5 on: March 31, 2018, 03:55:14 PM »
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #6 on: April 05, 2018, 08:11:36 PM »


D+5-8  seats
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #7 on: May 22, 2018, 09:32:10 AM »
Florida tossup to Leans R Putnam is good enough to win
Ohio Leans R to tossup 😀
Iowa Tilts R to Likely R Kim Reynolds is popular
Wisconsin Tilts R to Tilts D 😀 Walker is done
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #8 on: May 22, 2018, 09:54:51 AM »
AZ, NH, MD aren't tilt D and the electoral map favors Dems in OH, WI except for Iowa.  FL can go either way but Putnam is a strong candidate
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #9 on: May 22, 2018, 09:13:57 PM »
This is an anti-incumbant mood.  And the map above is a very rosey scenario in which Dems will win 8-12 gov mansion, which they will win 60 House seats and win 3-5 Senate seats.

Nelson is very much vulnerable in FL and Graham is untested. Dems are likelier than not to win OH/WI scenario than a FL/AZ scenario. Putnam is a stronger candidate than expected.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #10 on: May 31, 2018, 09:17:46 AM »
My rankings

Tilt D takeover: IL,  WI,  MI,  NM,  ME,
Tossup NH, MD,  NV
Tilt R: FL, OH, Iowa
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #11 on: June 01, 2018, 06:05:43 PM »


I agree, with OH and AK move to LR as well.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #12 on: June 01, 2018, 09:00:28 PM »
The pundits should put their predictions on hold now,  when they say the Democrats are favored, McConnell was right and the wave may have come to an end.  Democrats may pickup 10 to 15 House seats and 5 to 6 governor mansions.  OH, FL are Leaning R
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #13 on: June 05, 2018, 10:15:04 AM »
OK isn't a tossup
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #14 on: June 05, 2018, 12:27:56 PM »
« Edited: June 05, 2018, 01:13:32 PM by Cory Booker »
MD and NH will get competetive.  Especially, MD,  with Cardin on ballot.

Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #15 on: June 05, 2018, 01:22:31 PM »
mistake
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #16 on: June 06, 2018, 02:06:39 PM »
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #17 on: June 15, 2018, 06:44:37 PM »
switch FL and WI
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #18 on: June 19, 2018, 08:26:21 AM »
AZ will flip before Ga
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #19 on: June 21, 2018, 10:09:59 AM »
Dems can lose LA and win the KY governorship
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #20 on: June 21, 2018, 01:20:45 PM »
WI and ME probably Leans R
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #21 on: June 28, 2018, 09:26:07 PM »
Safe D NM, IL, ME, WI, MI
Tossup NV, MD*wildcard
Tilt R FL, OH, AK
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #22 on: July 08, 2018, 06:53:27 PM »
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #23 on: July 21, 2018, 08:48:09 AM »
Tilt D CO, IL, ME, MI, MN, NM, PA, WI, AK Indie
Wildcard NV, MD
Rest are tilt R
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,134
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #24 on: July 21, 2018, 06:48:44 PM »
Dems need WI, MI, IL, CO, NV and ME; OH, FL and AZ are purple states giving Dems the keys to Congress. But the ones that are needed is to clinch presidency. I doubt that Dems win TN or KS
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