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1. West Virginia
2 (tie). Iowa
2 (tie). Vermont
2 (tie). South Carolina
3 (tie). New Hampshire
3 (tie). Ohio

I would’ve said no until Jon Ralston said that all of the D house incumbents were in trouble. He doesn’t usually raise the alarm for no reason and clearly thinks that Dems are losing ground in NV, and it was already a close state to begin with.

As of now this is probably a pure tossup (I.e. that Rs win one of these districts).

This. Tbh Democrats might have screwed themselves over by spreading their votes so thin...it's a house of cards...one big red wave and a 4-0 R House delegation is hardly impossible (maybe not this year, but then in 2026 if Biden pulls off a win).

Sort of gives me vibes of IA map last decade. IA map last decade wasn't a gerrymander (it was court drawn iirc) but Obama won 3/4 congressional districts but all flipped to Trump in 2016 and Dems struggled to hold them throughout the decade.

Yeah, exactly. It was visually pleasing and very compact, and of course it wasn't drawn with any intent to gerrymander, but by the end of the decade the effect it really had was to crack up all the sources of Democratic strength in eastern Iowa...it's actually very easy to draw a comfortably Democratic seat if you keep the Quad Cities area united, and it's not un-compact, either. Likewise, although the map looked nice, it cracked up the Des Moines area by drowning Polk/Dallas with heavily red rurals and putting Story County in an even redder seat.

Iowa City and Cedar Rapids aren't considered part of the Quad Cities.

Mb about the terminology, but I was just using "Quad Cities" to refer to those mid sized cities in eastern IA (Davenport / IA City / DBQ / Cedar Rapids).

The left doesn't believe that certain types of "criminals" (and that's in quotes because frequently these guys aren't actually accused of breaking the law) should not be entitled to a fair trial. Sexual misconduct is one, obviously. At the height of the MeToo moral panic you could get fired simply for suggesting that accused men should get a real trial before having their lives ruined. The other big one is any kind of allegation of bigotry, which is the issue here.

I'm opposed to this, obviously, but I find it borderline impossible to feel bad for people who are just now realizing that this is a problem because it's suddenly affecting people they care about.

indeed, and it seems they are choosing the "ignore" option.  Makes sense, these people refuse to learn any lesson ever.

That is perfectly normal.

If I get shares or employee options with a company, they are subject to a rolling NDA following the end of contract.

It's because former employees go to forums and online and piss and moan endlessly.

The online World then creates a false narrative of the business activities.

The GOP

lol

In Japan, they have this thing called a police box, or Koban, where the police are like friendly neighborhood helpers or guides; finding lost stuff, walking school children accross the street, and promoting community outreach. And I think it helps create a sense of respect between police and the community they serve. In America, at least where I live, no one sees a police, until something happens, and they randomly show up.

We do also need higher standards for Police. A person trained to practice and employ the law has less mandated training than a hair dresser in California. That is crazy. This is not a trade job. It's a profession, and it should be treated as such.

Is it this time of the year again?

If I were Biden, I would accept under the condition that Trump publishes his tax returns.

https://twitter.com/nypost/status/1791695874512363954

He sounds very confident in his debating abilities.

The election is really flying under the radar here in Forsyth County because none of the local races are interesting.  I expect this is going to be very low turnout.

Yeah, I have yet to hear any ads about it. All i get are my local ones and I don’t care about who can be the Trumpiest person in a State House primary.

Did Biden win his fellow Irish Catholics?  Note that about one sixth live in New England (vs. 8% of all with Irish ancestry).  

Per Gallup, Biden won the Catholic vote 52/47. Looking at the Wisconsin map, he probably lost German Catholics, and he likely won Latino Catholics (though only about 55% of US Latinos are Catholic according to Pew). Italian, Polish, and other Catholics were traditionally a Democratic voting block, but they've become much more Republican in recent years. So my guess is that Biden won Irish Catholics but not overwhelmingly. Probably something like 55/45.

Many Italian Catholics have had a long tradition of Republican going back nearly a century. German Catholics are quite Republican indeed, probably as much as German Protestants. I agree that Irish Catholics most likely voted Biden. But probably not if you only include those who attend mass frequently.

Boosts his black vote to at least 30% obviously