Total-intuition map. Basically, i pictured myself as a voter in that state, going to the polling booth, and voting for the first campaign banner I saw.
Kerry-270
Bush-268
It isn't mean to be an in depth analysis. Just gut feeling.
Yes, that would be a gut feeling. If Virginia, Missouri, Arizona, and Louisiana go for Kerry, he will probably also get Florida, Minnesota, New Mexico, Pennslyvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and maybe Ohio.
It may be a gut feeling, but it looks to me like a very realistic outcome. I would probably give Arizona and Missouri back to Bush, but you're map look slike a very real possibility