Florida: Rasmussen: Romney +2 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 14, 2024, 05:01:34 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Florida: Rasmussen: Romney +2 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Florida: Rasmussen: Romney +2  (Read 695 times)
MorningInAmerica
polijunkie3057
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 779
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.55, S: 0.52

« on: October 05, 2012, 12:19:26 PM »
« edited: October 05, 2012, 10:20:47 PM by Dave Leip »

Link

Obama: 47%
Romney: 49%

Obama was ahead 48-46% in the last Florida poll from 2 weeks ago.

With Independents:
Obama: 25%
Romney: 47%

W/ Democrats:
Obama: 85%
Romney: 14%

W/ Republicans:
Obama: 22%
Romney: 76%

Party ID=R+5.

Obama's unusual strength with Republicans in this poll is a large part of the reason that  Romney only leads by 2, despite a 22 point lead with Independents.
Logged
MorningInAmerica
polijunkie3057
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 779
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.55, S: 0.52

« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2012, 01:28:27 PM »

Wow, that's a really strange sample right there. Too GOP friendly at +5 on party ID.. and the numbers for independents and Republicans have to be off.. this makes it look like a ton of Independents are undecided and a 1/4 of GOP is voting for Obama. Looks like a bad poll to me.

Party ID is not a demographic variable.

Party ID is not a demographic variable.

Party ID is not a demographic variable.


You don't find the cross-party appeal on both sides bizarre? How often does a Dem pull 20% of Republican voters for a contested federal race, much less do so and still be losing narrowly?


...by winning Independents by 22 points. That is offsetting Obama's large perentage with Republicans. Having said that, neither Obama nor Romney are consolidating their bases very well in this poll. Certainly seems odd.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.026 seconds with 14 queries.